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Traders

TBill1

0xd52b8dcb4b812c4056faf41164a6f6c73f4c5c72

Realised P&L
$82.1k
Volume
$11.89M
Markets traded
484
Open portfolio
$96.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded484
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8350.825$20.7k−$247.92
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8980.945$20.6k+$1.0k
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.9300.945$18.9k+$300.02
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8620.850$6.9k−$104.20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5700.555$5.1k−$136.01
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.9400.955$4.5k+$70.01
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · No0.9720.993$2.7k+$56.83
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2800.403$2.0k+$611.96
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7300.863$1.8k+$274.65
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7400.705$1.1k−$52.50
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · No0.1750.280$940.72+$352.45
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9200.945$906.72+$23.30
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · No0.8700.930$744.00+$48.00
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8700.930$743.99+$48.00
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.6190.561$726.18−$74.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:36Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.017$41.65
11-01 20:29Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.988$9.88
11-01 20:29Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.989$9.89
11-01 19:51Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.26$780.00
11-01 19:49Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?SELL0.74$30.83
11-01 18:21Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.28$840.00
11-01 16:25Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.12$60.00
11-01 12:42Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.807$877.04
11-01 01:27Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.7$2.8k
10-31 18:41Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.94$4.4k
10-31 17:56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.83$1.5k
10-31 16:13Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.61$297.52
10-31 13:32Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.981$1.2k
10-31 13:32Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.981$725.45
10-31 00:45Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0196944084$45.52
Trader TBill1 · PolyBot Pro