TBill1
0xd52b8dcb4b812c4056faf41164a6f6c73f4c5c72
- Realised P&L
- $82.1k
- Volume
- $11.89M
- Markets traded
- 484
- Open portfolio
- $96.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded484
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.5kat 0.999Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
- +$45.1kat 0.499Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
- +$45.1kat 0.499Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
- +$45.0kat 0.500Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
- +$40.0kat 0.500Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:36 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.017 | $41.65 |
| 11-01 20:29 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $9.88 |
| 11-01 20:29 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 11-01 19:51 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $780.00 |
| 11-01 19:49 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $30.83 |
| 11-01 18:21 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $840.00 |
| 11-01 16:25 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.12 | $60.00 |
| 11-01 12:42 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.807 | $877.04 |
| 11-01 01:27 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $2.8k |
| 10-31 18:41 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.4k |
| 10-31 17:56 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.5k |
| 10-31 16:13 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $297.52 |
| 10-31 13:32 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.981 | $1.2k |
| 10-31 13:32 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.981 | $725.45 |
| 10-31 00:45 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0196944084 | $45.52 |