back-in-whack
0x5235578efe24555b0c98e7dc10a902b09089c04a
- Realised P&L
- $57.4k
- Volume
- $10.06M
- Markets traded
- 745
- Open portfolio
- $51.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded745
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.8kat 0.730Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$56.0kat 0.525Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$48.6kat 0.642Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
- +$34.8kat 0.419Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
- +$21.0kat 0.218Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 09-17 02:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $105.41 |
| 09-16 23:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | SELL | 0.78 | $140.40 |
| 09-16 20:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.74 | $370.00 |
| 09-16 18:32 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.43 |
| 09-16 18:19 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.04 |
| 09-16 18:05 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $2.97 |
| 09-16 18:04 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.03 |
| 09-16 17:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $277.22 |
| 09-16 17:54 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $4.68 |
| 09-16 17:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | SELL | 0.54 | $270.00 |
| 09-16 17:53 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 09-16 04:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.09 | $45.00 |
| 09-14 12:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21 | $105.00 |
| 09-13 22:27 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $6.00 |