PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x15994CC84F03684aFf151F58dbf401c67f3dd0Ed-1775340556775

0x874733022a6bbc2240d6dcdc559f696be4c3551a

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$92.0k
Markets traded
257
Open portfolio
$101.29

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded257
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1050.051$101.29−$104.47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Down0.3800.000$0.00−$1.95
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$196.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET · Up0.5590.000$0.00−$10.00
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? · No0.0110.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET · Up0.0060.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Down0.4110.000$0.00−$1.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Up0.3680.000$0.00−$0.78
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$12.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET · Down0.3020.000$0.00−$0.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET · Down0.0750.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Down0.0750.000$0.00−$6.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET · Up0.4290.000$0.00−$0.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 18:02Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.035$6.45
10-12 18:00Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.032$6.40
10-12 18:00Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.0788426667$29.57
10-10 03:15Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?SELL0.22$22.44
10-09 15:22Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?BUY0.1960784314$20.00
10-09 15:14Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.1052333044$235.00
10-09 15:06Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.0919999993$10.00
06-20 04:40Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?BUY0.3399999991$196.50
06-20 04:39Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.16$200.00
05-19 17:22Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?SELL0.0021785147$47.20
05-19 17:21Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?BUY0.0678462939$1.2k
05-19 17:17Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?BUY0.0078201369$10.00
05-19 17:12Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?BUY0.0078651752$10.00
05-19 17:11Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?BUY0.0069999993$10.00
05-19 17:10Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?BUY0.0107108495$10.00