PolyBot

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Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.082. up 0.030 over the period, from 0.052. Range 0.049 to 0.105. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0971313
0.0981023
0.099101124
0.10064187
0.121138325
0.124102428
0.12550478
0.126211689
0.13820709
0.145117826
0.14850876
0.14950926

Spread0.030Mid0.082

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0674949
0.06686135
0.06470205
0.06320225
0.050240465
0.03040505
0.02365570
0.00860630
0.007100730
0.0023051,035
0.0015151,550

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9334949
0.93486135
0.93670205
0.93720225
0.950240465
0.97040505
0.97765570
0.99260630
0.993100730
0.9983051,035
0.9995151,550

Spread0.030Mid0.918

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9031313
0.9021023
0.901101124
0.90064187
0.879138325
0.876102428
0.87550478
0.874211689
0.86220709
0.855117826
0.85250876
0.85150926

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
caspar1248Yes699.82
1in1000Yes500
tradetosurvive1Yes221.79
NostdamYes214.57
molodoyyYes203.53
X-Rabbit.SezuYes111.26
0x7969…9fecYes109.2
LornaPredictsYes54.2
Mithrandir.Yes40
0x4629…f3b1Yes30
vcfrYes20
kj7777Yes20
6655dfYes19.99
mustbethewaterYes19.97
dd3333Yes10
monoclithYes9
WMNBYes5
79fsdfsYes3.6
0xa5ef…2966No2,075.72
pootytherewardfarmerNo104

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:19:33BUYNo0.91110$9.11
23:23:22SELLNo0.89934$30.44
05:02:34SELLNo0.9319$17.80
14:01:37SELLNo0.91930$27.57
23:28:13SELLNo0.87422$18.93
12:41:12SELLNo0.87921$18.49
12:38:18SELLYes0.1311$1.43
06:41:12SELLNo0.87111$9.58
06:39:01SELLYes0.1290$0.06
02:45:28BUYYes0.1563357143140$21.89
20:58:27BUYNo0.83922$18.46
14:45:34SELLYes0.16320$3.26
14:00:07BUYNo0.830999999154$45.00
07:36:58SELLYes0.19440$7.76
06:50:22BUYYes0.19520$3.90
03:33:00SELLYes0.2452993869192$47.21
03:26:28SELLYes0.25337$9.38
03:16:34SELLYes0.2534$1.00
03:15:04SELLYes0.2555$13.75
03:14:09SELLYes0.25320$5.06
03:09:39SELLYes0.245743589778$19.17
03:09:13SELLYes0.2567520$5.13
03:08:03SELLYes0.24520$4.90
03:03:21SELLYes0.24520$4.90
02:58:09SELLYes0.27320$5.46