PolyBot

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Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.021. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.022. Range 0.019 to 0.023. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0294040
0.030242
0.0314890
0.032345435
0.03487522
0.03575597
0.03692689
0.040186874
0.04268943
0.32212954
0.3232611,215
0.5902501,465

Spread0.017Mid0.021

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0124040
0.0104484
0.005450534
0.0047501,284
0.0039402,223
0.0023,6055,828
0.00113,68819,516

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9884040
0.9904484
0.995450534
0.9967501,284
0.9979402,223
0.9983,6055,828
0.99913,68819,516

Spread0.017Mid0.980

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9714040
0.970242
0.9694890
0.968345435
0.96687522
0.96575597
0.96492689
0.960186874
0.95868943
0.67812954
0.6772611,215
0.4102501,465

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x8d7E42CcAfbC6EDC8F346A972B7ED81A09E81C7d-1769154594260Yes1,427.76
0xfa39…977fYes956.27
audibleYes618.78
planktonXDYes510.28
0x69A0F0B7e059c8E454c7A5E2259c372806A444b3-1762793966723Yes473.59
25oodksmsss09Yes292.97
PolyJaguarYes162.06
BSS37Yes140.01
Biver52Yes100
LornaPredictsYes91
LesivvYes80
ObamAisAhomoYes80
Bska36Yes68.26
vagnusYes55.62
NeyroneYes49.98
orin40Yes43.36
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes40
VorpalWolfYes20
0x7706774910eCB824cEdF519A92EB705aB0be5B5B-1777234649196Yes15.53
51dgfdYes10.66

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:51:28SELLYes0.010241721,000$10.24
22:35:13SELLNo0.975$5.08
17:04:18SELLYes0.01420877551,857$26.39
05:09:34SELLNo0.9618$17.28
04:33:54SELLNo0.9612$11.71
04:25:55SELLNo0.9614$13.73
15:14:07SELLNo0.9617$16.32
15:04:27SELLNo0.9613$12.58
14:37:07SELLNo0.960756842119$18.25
14:21:33SELLNo0.96118$17.30
14:07:12SELLNo0.962346314314$13.84
13:53:33SELLNo0.97217$16.52
12:20:31SELLNo0.97218$17.50
04:59:58SELLNo0.97231$30.13
04:49:22SELLNo0.97246$44.71
03:06:57SELLNo0.97232$31.58
02:49:10SELLNo0.97233$32.08
00:52:06SELLNo0.97217$16.52
00:20:42SELLNo0.972171515233$32.08
23:36:30SELLNo0.97317$16.54
22:57:03SELLNo0.97317$16.54
13:56:37SELLYes0.0261535400$10.46
16:35:58SELLNo0.9724$3.41
16:35:45SELLNo0.9722$1.74
16:34:40SELLNo0.9722$2.10