PolyBot

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Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.025. up 0.003 over the period, from 0.022. Range 0.022 to 0.495. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.02955
0.0303540
0.031950
0.0321363
0.033770
0.03449119
0.03558176
0.0388184
0.039136320
0.040575895
0.06956950
0.0705001,450

Spread0.007Mid0.026

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0224545
0.0211762
0.0201679
0.0151896
0.01466162
0.00619182
0.005197378
0.004481859
0.0034401,299
0.0028602,159
0.0019,38211,541

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9784545
0.9791762
0.9801679
0.9851896
0.98666162
0.99419182
0.995197378
0.996481859
0.9974401,299
0.9988602,159
0.9999,38211,541

Spread0.007Mid0.974

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.97155
0.9703540
0.969950
0.9681363
0.967770
0.96649119
0.96558176
0.9628184
0.961136320
0.960575895
0.93156950
0.9305001,450

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x8d7E42CcAfbC6EDC8F346A972B7ED81A09E81C7d-1769154594260Yes1,427.76
0xfa39…977fYes956.27
audibleYes618.78
planktonXDYes510.28
0x69A0F0B7e059c8E454c7A5E2259c372806A444b3-1762793966723Yes473.59
25oodksmsss09Yes259.64
PolyJaguarYes162.06
BSS37Yes140.01
RooglishYes100
Biver52Yes100
LornaPredictsYes91
ObamAisAhomoYes80
Bska36Yes68.26
vagnusYes55.62
VonVonaghYes50
NeyroneYes49.98
xtxpleasecallmeYes48.65
orin40Yes43.36
Numitus1994Yes21
HaradwaithYes20.08

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:16:51SELLYes0.0211$0.02
20:09:40BUYNo0.97899998811$1.15
20:09:40BUYNo0.917412698463$57.80
19:51:25BUYYes0.08515$1.25
08:35:55SELLYes0.03430$1.00
08:35:55BUYNo0.989$9.21
08:28:46SELLYes0.02321$0.48
07:36:05BUYYes0.027729100$2.77
13:35:27BUYYes0.01880$1.44
00:13:39SELLNo0.9891$1.02
07:20:16BUYNo0.98840$39.52
13:51:28SELLYes0.010241721,000$10.24
22:35:13SELLNo0.975$5.08
17:04:18SELLYes0.01420877551,857$26.39
05:09:34SELLNo0.9618$17.28
04:33:54SELLNo0.9612$11.71
04:25:55SELLNo0.9614$13.73
15:14:07SELLNo0.9617$16.32
15:04:27SELLNo0.9613$12.58
14:37:07SELLNo0.960756842119$18.25
14:21:33SELLNo0.96118$17.30
14:07:12SELLNo0.962346314314$13.84
13:53:33SELLNo0.97217$16.52
12:20:31SELLNo0.97218$17.50
04:59:58SELLNo0.97231$30.13