PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Bska36

0x9dc2e5f6d8a88fd78d549d390918671282ef0727

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$6.49M
Markets traded
7,241
Open portfolio
$88.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,241
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SBF appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? · Yes0.0200.236$23.65+$21.65
Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.0700.105$15.75+$5.25
Will Milady floor price reach 6 ETH before 2027? · Yes0.0600.260$14.19+$10.92
Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.062$6.20+$2.20
USDTb depeg by December 31? · Yes0.0500.210$4.55+$3.47
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0080.051$4.54+$3.83
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.1000.029$2.90$7.10
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.0700.770$2.16+$1.97
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0501.000$2.13+$2.02
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.0900.885$1.84+$1.65
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.017$1.65$8.35
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.0300.015$1.55$1.45
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1000.021$1.43$5.39
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0310.025$1.11$0.24
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0400.070$1.04+$0.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 10:32Will Brendan Allen be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.005$0.54
07-16 10:32Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.0251448$2.51
07-16 10:31Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.1917186048$30.95
07-16 10:31Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.50015$50.02
06-07 12:50Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.752052$75.21
06-02 05:33Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?SELL0.14$2.00
03-26 11:22Will Lonzo Ball lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?SELL0.011$0.05
03-24 12:07Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?SELL0.003$0.17
03-22 08:57Will MrBeast hit 125 billion views by March 31?SELL0.002$0.20
02-14 08:25Will Ryan Trevino be the Democratic nominee for TX-28?BUY0.028$0.39
02-13 18:50Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.025$2.50
02-13 16:22Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.036$3.60
02-13 12:12Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY0.057$5.70
02-13 09:35Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL0.06$4.41
02-13 05:17Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?SELL0.044$2.39