0x69A0F0B7e059c8E454c7A5E2259c372806A444b3-1762793966723
0x69a0f0b7e059c8e454c7a5e2259c372806a444b3
- Realised P&L
- $43.40
- Volume
- $731.75
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $12.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.027 | $12.79 | −$17.21 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.82 |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.22at 0.550Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 14:38 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.992 | $108.22 |
| 01-26 21:38 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26? | BUY | 0.1904761905 | $1.00 |
| 01-26 21:19 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.0633459129 | $30.00 |
| 01-15 22:50 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.1099999767 | $3.82 |
| 01-15 22:47 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.5499999963 | $60.00 |