PolyBot

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Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.05. Range 0.05 to 0.07. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.07497497
0.085,2505,746
0.094736,219
0.10236,242
0.121106,353
0.35126,365
0.36116,376
0.37206,396
0.5776,403
0.581096,512
0.594836,995
0.85137,008

Spread0.01Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.06113113
0.059241,037
0.045,8176,854
0.039,34116,195
0.021316,208
0.013,81420,022

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.94113113
0.959241,037
0.965,8176,854
0.979,34116,195
0.981316,208
0.993,81420,022

Spread0.01Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.93497497
0.925,2505,746
0.914736,219
0.90236,242
0.881106,353
0.65126,365
0.64116,376
0.63206,396
0.4376,403
0.421096,512
0.414836,995
0.15137,008

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
fledgerYes491.5
42012Yes299.13
xtxpleasecallmeYes127.1
CrevondeYes111.57
OklmntraderYes110.48
LornaPredictsYes73.92
GRodBetsYes69.95
karagoraYes36.25
5atkaYes30
daroghiYes30
chopwoodYes20
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes19.15
atomicannieYes14.45
BodytobodyYes12.37
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes8
vwishYes7.69
legend24Yes4.62
0x86137924ebA14354d3774d6F1a6f6071Ff38Af94-1774695014697Yes4.17
omnibus-00c8efYes3.94
Stabrus777Yes3.03

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:46:06BUYYes0.06242$14.49
10:52:52BUYYes0.06250$15.00
09:27:45BUYYes0.0524$1.20
09:27:45SELLYes0.0575$3.75
09:27:45BUYNo0.9620$19.15
09:27:45BUYNo0.9615$14.40
03:19:55SELLNo0.9415$14.18
09:46:18BUYYes0.0640$2.40
04:40:02BUYYes0.055$0.25
01:12:53SELLYes0.04140$5.60
01:12:38BUYNo0.9520$19.00
01:12:38SELLYes0.05240$12.00
16:18:28SELLNo0.9320$18.60
16:18:27SELLNo0.9358299325120$112.37
19:19:36BUYNo0.9530$28.63
18:12:31SELLYes0.0510$0.51
18:12:22SELLYes0.0650$3.00
16:32:58SELLYes0.0650$3.01
19:22:29SELLYes0.06116$6.96
01:08:49BUYNo0.9440$37.57
17:19:29SELLNo0.931$0.79
08:07:11SELLYes0.061$0.05
08:05:54SELLYes0.0620$1.20
08:05:53SELLYes0.07100$7.00
08:05:53BUYNo0.9420$18.80