legend24
0xe7b1a72aafc1ff955354f30f7897d38291025e3d
- Realised P&L
- $-33.35
- Volume
- $28.3k
- Markets traded
- 227
- Open portfolio
- $67.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded227
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.50at 0.240Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?
- +$4.32at 0.181Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
- +$3.47at 0.960Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?
- +$2.58at 0.070Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?
- +$1.93at 0.782Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-18 04:06 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.02 |
| 02-18 02:25 | Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | SELL | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 02-17 23:28 | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.38 |
| 02-17 23:08 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.04 |
| 02-17 23:08 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.15 |
| 02-17 22:59 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 02-17 22:55 | Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.03 |
| 02-17 22:33 | Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.81 |
| 02-17 22:31 | Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | SELL | 0.965 | $9.65 |
| 02-17 22:29 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.15 |
| 02-17 21:15 | Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.29 |
| 02-17 21:13 | Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.33 |
| 02-17 19:56 | Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.04 |
| 02-17 19:37 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.143 | $1.43 |
| 02-17 19:16 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.127 | $1.27 |