PolyBot

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Traders

karagora

0xd40cfab4e55b069c8aff1edaf7e65496a257badd

Realised P&L
$-146.51
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$27.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)89.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? · No0.8000.951$23.76+$3.76
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? · Yes0.2760.095$3.44$6.56
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$20.00
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage · MIBR Academy0.5600.000$0.00$50.00
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? · No0.3200.000$0.00$25.00
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5 · Over0.4600.000$0.00$20.00
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs · Team Nemesis0.4500.000$0.00$50.00
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage · Galorys0.6170.000$0.00$50.00
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? · No0.6900.000$0.00$10.00
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - 1win Essence Decider Stage · MOUZ0.3490.000$0.00$30.00
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? · No0.6100.000$0.00$20.00
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Down0.5330.000$0.00$25.00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Up0.6800.000$0.00$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-17 18:54Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group ABUY0.5799999988$50.00
05-17 18:53Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsBUY0.4499999955$50.00
05-17 18:49Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group StageBUY0.5299999986$50.00
05-17 18:49Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group StageBUY0.617281492$50.00
05-17 18:49Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group StageBUY0.5599999969$50.00
05-17 18:45Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsBUY0.8899999986$50.00
05-17 18:39CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5BUY0.4599999968$20.00
05-17 18:39Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17?BUY0.87$20.00
05-17 18:38UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.7699999969$50.00
05-17 18:31Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-17?BUY0.75$25.00
05-15 18:58Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.7799999995$100.00
05-10 13:44Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?SELL0.87$10.35
05-10 13:44Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?SELL0.63$13.69
05-10 13:44Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?SELL0.79$10.39
05-10 13:43Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETSELL0.7099574251$41.69