PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

GRodBets

0x2e673e522bf2880877f785415387f4c16859b536

Realised P&L
$-510.34
Volume
$129.1k
Markets traded
171
Open portfolio
$64.09

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded171
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration85.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026? · Yes0.0610.055$11.82$1.26
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026? · Yes0.1110.095$11.77$1.93
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? · Yes0.0950.085$9.89$1.16
Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV? · Yes0.0390.023$7.80$5.57
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? · Yes0.0810.075$4.56$0.38
LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE? · Yes0.0360.049$3.20+$0.80
LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE? · Yes0.0450.040$2.17$0.28
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? · Yes0.0530.051$2.14$0.05
Will Changpeng Zhao (CZ) post about $LAPTOP by September 30? · Yes0.0540.021$2.05$3.36
LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE? · Yes0.0560.035$1.75$1.05
Will Elon Musk post about $LAPTOP by September 30? · Yes0.0200.006$1.40$2.90
Will Donald Trump Jr. post about $LAPTOP by September 30? · Yes0.0240.013$1.30$1.04
LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? · Yes0.0290.009$1.29$3.18
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? · Yes0.0350.034$1.15$0.07
Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30? · Yes0.0340.004$1.00$7.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 22:05Will Donald Trump Jr. post about $LAPTOP by September 30?SELL0.011$1.06
09-22 22:04Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?SELL0.06$3.02
09-22 22:03LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?SELL0.0319199779$1.74
09-22 22:03LAPTOP listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?SELL0.05$5.00
09-22 22:02LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?SELL0.02$2.60
09-22 22:02LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?SELL0.03$1.50
09-22 22:00Umia listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?SELL0.0075$0.75
09-20 09:51Umia listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?SELL0.07$2.10
09-20 09:51Umia listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?SELL0.07$2.10
09-20 09:50Umia listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?SELL0.063$1.89
09-20 09:47Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?SELL0.058$2.92
09-20 09:46LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?BUY0.0510805494$3.00
09-20 09:45LAPTOP listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?SELL0.05590009$3.11
09-20 09:45LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?SELL0.038$1.90
09-20 09:44LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?SELL0.05928$2.96