PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x00c8ef6895e2fb38b538cac8c08edd6b82289ccd

Realised P&L
$-67.7k
Volume
$9.50M
Markets traded
10,559
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10,559
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes0.1920.075$844.35$1.3k
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3590.360$200.83+$0.84
Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET · Up0.9241.000$119.06+$9.07
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9140.958$104.75+$4.76
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · O 99.50.3280.310$100.67$5.71
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2490.221$88.56$11.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Up0.6301.000$79.36+$29.36
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.125$62.50$7.50
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · No0.8700.984$56.51+$6.52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3600.445$55.61+$10.62
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET · Down0.6501.000$29.15+$10.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Up0.7401.000$27.69+$7.20
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.7530.938$24.91+$4.92
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2690.080$23.94$57.05
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4060.564$22.62+$6.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?BUY0.01$2.00
09-17 03:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETBUY0.4199999496$3.00
09-17 03:00Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles AngelsBUY0.4699999812$9.99
09-17 01:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETBUY0.5199999975$25.10
09-17 00:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSELL0.99$79.57
09-17 00:38Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETBUY0.5399999958$43.40
09-17 00:37Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSELL0.07$3.05
09-17 00:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETBUY0.6499999931$28.30
09-17 00:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETSELL0.99$24.94
09-17 00:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETSELL0.12$4.20
09-17 00:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETBUY0.2699999926$9.46
09-17 00:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETBUY0.4199999865$10.58
09-17 00:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETSELL0.999$53.70
09-17 00:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.99$53.22
09-17 00:27Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 16?BUY0.004$0.40