PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Crevonde

0x0f2043c08b8b42229db6f3d127c7131084fce2a5

Realised P&L
$1.82
Volume
$3.7k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$23.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? · Yes0.1300.105$11.71$2.79
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? · Yes0.1500.170$11.47+$1.35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 3? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00$30.00
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 2? · No0.1110.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5? · Yes0.6390.000$0.00$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 18? · Yes0.8070.000$0.00$9.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-05 19:55Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 6?BUY0.9879999999$105.82
04-05 19:55Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.977$40.00
04-03 21:36Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.9769999783$40.00
04-03 21:35Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 5?BUY0.9789999993$99.70
03-29 19:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 30?BUY0.9859999999$139.99
03-24 21:57Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 26?BUY0.9889999999$139.99
03-23 19:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 24?BUY0.9859999929$38.00
03-23 19:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 24?BUY0.9839999925$99.99
03-22 17:36Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 23?BUY0.9962735435$133.00
03-18 11:54Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 18?BUY0.8069999513$9.88
03-17 13:44Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 20?BUY0.8699999993$120.00
03-17 13:44Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 18?SELL0.994$129.74
03-16 21:15Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 18?BUY0.996$130.00
03-15 10:18Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 16?BUY0.9889999968$85.99
03-15 10:18Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 16?BUY0.92$39.89