Crevonde
0x0f2043c08b8b42229db6f3d127c7131084fce2a5
- Realised P&L
- $3.40
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $24.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.210 | $14.17 | +$4.05 |
| Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.095 | $10.60 | −$3.90 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 3? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 2? · No | 0.111 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5? · Yes | 0.639 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 18? · Yes | 0.662 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.78at 0.744Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 30?
- +$72.18at 0.745Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 26?
- +$67.20at 0.748Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 23?
- +$64.87at 0.748Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 18?
- +$63.14at 0.746Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-05 19:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 6? | BUY | 0.9879999999 | $105.82 |
| 04-05 19:55 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.977 | $40.00 |
| 04-03 21:36 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9769999783 | $40.00 |
| 04-03 21:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 5? | BUY | 0.9789999993 | $99.70 |
| 03-29 19:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 30? | BUY | 0.9859999999 | $139.99 |
| 03-24 21:57 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 26? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $139.99 |
| 03-23 19:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 24? | BUY | 0.9859999929 | $38.00 |
| 03-23 19:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 24? | BUY | 0.9839999925 | $99.99 |
| 03-22 17:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 23? | BUY | 0.9962735435 | $133.00 |
| 03-18 11:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 18? | BUY | 0.8069999513 | $9.88 |
| 03-17 13:44 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 20? | BUY | 0.8699999993 | $120.00 |
| 03-17 13:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 18? | SELL | 0.994 | $129.74 |
| 03-16 21:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 18? | BUY | 0.996 | $130.00 |
| 03-15 10:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 16? | BUY | 0.9889999968 | $85.99 |
| 03-15 10:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 16? | BUY | 0.92 | $39.89 |