PolyBot

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Will Moonshot be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.015. up 0.013 over the period, from 0.003. Range 0.003 to 0.015. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.01966
0.029915
0.0305671
0.0501587
0.05140127
0.05340167
0.05440207
0.07645252
0.07780332
0.07927359
0.08048407
0.105114521

Spread0.007Mid0.015

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0124040
0.01091131
0.004200331
0.003334665
0.002150815
0.001106921

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9884040
0.99091131
0.996200331
0.997334665
0.998150815
0.999106921

Spread0.007Mid0.984

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.98166
0.971915
0.9705671
0.9501587
0.94940127
0.94740167
0.94640207
0.92445252
0.92380332
0.92127359
0.92048407
0.895114521

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
x1099Yes762.48
caspar1248Yes699.82
79fsdfsYes170.2
TENETENETYes100
LornaPredictsYes89
Z91EXYes59.99
0x11b2…6d33Yes50.04
PollyForgeYes44
Numitus1994Yes41.99
AJSVYes35.7
nc3iceibvtvetvbtYes23.89
Mojito9Yes20
mustbethewaterYes19.99
a5533Yes15.46
triklozoidYes15
Hugin-og-MuninYes10
lightsout912Yes9.42
LucerysYes3.92
0xF03D13c94373E052a177601419291Ce2FAfE21Fb-1769526558724Yes2.66
0xa5ef…2966No2,075.72

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:44:57BUYYes0.018851641960$1.13
08:01:09SELLYes0.019$0.09
18:29:16BUYYes0.0114873657201$2.31
07:29:04BUYNo0.998074002290$90.00
08:04:01SELLYes0.0030$0.00
01:49:51SELLYes0.00212$0.02
01:49:51SELLYes0.0025$0.01
20:58:27BUYNo0.99922$21.98
02:46:34BUYNo0.99910$9.99
02:46:34BUYNo0.99933$32.72
02:45:10BUYNo0.99913$12.79
02:45:06BUYNo0.9995$5.00
02:45:06BUYNo0.99910$9.99
21:51:34SELLYes0.0014$0.00
21:47:36SELLYes0.00215$0.03
12:26:36BUYNo0.9995$4.50
12:26:34BUYNo0.99910$9.99
17:05:18BUYNo0.99913$12.79
17:05:18BUYNo0.99910$9.99
13:44:46BUYNo0.99920$20.01
02:51:19BUYNo0.99911$10.95
19:15:55BUYNo0.9995$5.00
19:15:55BUYNo0.99913$12.79
19:15:55BUYNo0.99910$9.99
19:13:54BUYYes0.002120$0.24