Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.029. Unchanged over the period, from 0.029. Range 0.029 to 0.029. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.029	471	471
0.030	330	801
0.031	702	1,503
0.032	1,034	2,537
0.033	120	2,657
0.036	249	2,907
0.037	20	2,927
0.039	416	3,343
0.040	1,606	4,949
0.049	5,060	10,009
0.050	73,000	83,009
0.058	90	83,100

Spread0.001Mid0.029

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.028	784	784
0.027	480	1,264
0.025	40	1,304
0.024	20	1,324
0.023	102	1,426
0.022	20	1,446
0.021	519	1,965
0.020	840	2,805
0.018	778	3,583
0.017	240	3,823
0.012	20	3,843
0.010	501	4,344

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.972	784	784
0.973	480	1,264
0.975	40	1,304
0.976	20	1,324
0.977	102	1,426
0.978	20	1,446
0.979	519	1,965
0.980	840	2,805
0.982	778	3,583
0.983	240	3,823
0.988	20	3,843
0.990	501	4,344

Spread0.001Mid0.972

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.971	471	471
0.970	330	801
0.969	702	1,503
0.968	1,034	2,537
0.967	120	2,657
0.964	249	2,907
0.963	20	2,927
0.961	416	3,343
0.960	1,606	4,949
0.951	5,060	10,009
0.950	73,000	83,009
0.942	90	83,100

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
thecaricature	Yes	893.98
Dr.PNL	Yes	285.48
LornaPredicts	Yes	168.51
akunai	Yes	108
ma99	Yes	94
Oklmntrader	Yes	90.43
0x6b0e…e3ea	Yes	58.08
Wordsmith	Yes	49.01
perepuk	Yes	45.13
Numitus1994	Yes	42
protonboy	Yes	34.49
berk2	Yes	33.34
1BTCis1BTC	Yes	29.79
0x38FA674C4E32786231D19a2Dc1ccD6cb15460ADb-1767919698813	Yes	27.49
247525	Yes	26.12
ivybaby02	Yes	5.4
keybo	Yes	1.04
tja	No	1,069.78
dropmeplease	No	800
Elias.Thornwell	No	59.49

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:27:24	SELL	No	0.971	8	$7.77
20:22:06	BUY	Yes	0.0289999997	34	$1.00
11:59:58	SELL	No	0.971	1	$1.17
11:46:27	SELL	No	0.971	10	$9.71
13:41:30	BUY	Yes	0.0289999724	34	$1.00
05:58:13	SELL	Yes	0.028	50	$1.40
22:31:55	BUY	No	0.972	27	$26.03
19:20:28	BUY	No	0.971999886	2	$1.50
19:20:07	BUY	No	0.971999886	2	$1.50
17:48:13	SELL	Yes	0.02842	50	$1.42
16:38:28	SELL	No	0.967	1	$0.97
16:07:18	SELL	Yes	0.029	40	$1.16
16:07:13	SELL	Yes	0.029	20	$0.58
16:07:09	SELL	Yes	0.03087575	40	$1.24
16:07:01	SELL	Yes	0.032	20	$0.64
16:06:58	SELL	Yes	0.032	40	$1.28
16:06:54	SELL	Yes	0.032	20	$0.64
16:05:33	SELL	Yes	0.029	20	$0.58
16:05:13	BUY	No	0.970999434	1	$1.17
16:05:13	BUY	No	0.9709997697	2	$1.99
16:05:09	BUY	No	0.971	6	$6.03
16:05:07	BUY	No	0.971	5	$4.85
16:05:06	BUY	No	0.9676983048	415	$401.29
16:04:46	BUY	No	0.9669999985	2	$1.99
16:04:40	BUY	No	0.967	6	$6.01