PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

247525

0x71389d69bb86385f122e18bb427578f1d70e8c89

Realised P&L
$-32.2k
Volume
$42.96M
Markets traded
12,677
Open portfolio
$46.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12,677
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.9250.960$45.7k+$1.6k
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? · No0.8890.909$296.43+$6.78
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.817$109.17+$42.32
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6800.956$49.61+$14.30
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.183$24.53−$42.32
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.3570.705$22.50+$11.12
Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.8400.965$21.23+$2.75
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4450.355$18.74−$4.74
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.6600.830$18.26+$3.74
Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.8800.974$8.12+$0.78
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? · Yes0.1000.060$4.29−$2.86
Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.1400.093$2.06−$1.02
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.025$1.17−$10.79
Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes0.0130.023$1.15+$0.50
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.6590.015$0.80−$35.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 03:24China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?SELL0.957561089$57.68
09-27 14:48China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?SELL0.943$1.9k
09-07 01:59Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.99$34.65
09-07 01:19Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETBUY0.99$349.47
09-06 21:59Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.99$138.60
09-06 20:39Solana Up or Down - September 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.99$124.74
09-06 19:59Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.99$138.60
09-06 17:59Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.99$138.60
09-06 17:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETBUY0.99$161.37
09-06 16:59Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.99$138.60
09-06 12:59Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.99$138.60
09-06 10:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.99$267.30
09-06 08:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.99$267.30
09-06 08:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.99$34.65
09-06 06:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETBUY0.99$267.30