keybo
0xc71b43cf1a6c9f79743bdf5e15a763d93d7ce265
- Realised P&L
- $-26.5k
- Volume
- $3.73M
- Markets traded
- 8,993
- Open portfolio
- $14.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,993
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.53at 0.280US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
- +$92.06at 0.015Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
- +$89.00at 0.129Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
- +$87.48at 0.110Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
- +$87.25at 0.140US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 21:38 | Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $9.68 |
| 07-23 17:04 | Will Arizona have the closest Governor's race in 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.05 |
| 07-23 17:04 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.31 |
| 07-23 17:04 | Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.55 |
| 07-23 17:04 | Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? | SELL | 0.79 | $0.55 |
| 07-23 17:04 | Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,017,000 and $1,053,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.22 |
| 07-23 17:03 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.52 |
| 07-23 17:03 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.56 |
| 07-23 17:03 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 1.3%? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 07-23 17:03 | Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.221 | $0.57 |
| 07-23 17:03 | Will Timothy Wilcox win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 07-23 17:03 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.117 | $0.53 |
| 07-23 17:03 | US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.57 |
| 07-23 17:03 | Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July? | SELL | 0.102 | $0.51 |
| 07-23 17:03 | Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |