perepuk
0x51f28ce013c317c1ce3de78aaa6107ed962538ef
- Realised P&L
- $-10.0k
- Volume
- $937.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,549
- Open portfolio
- $808.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,549
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$641.71at 0.045Epstein client list released by June 30?
- +$496.17at 0.080Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?
- +$484.39at 0.032Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
- +$475.46at 0.007Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- +$408.33at 0.070Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 02:48 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.8 | $2.60 |
| 06-09 15:45 | Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June? | SELL | 0.711 | $3.19 |
| 06-08 10:43 | Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.16 |
| 06-05 02:30 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? | SELL | 0.68 | $5.96 |
| 06-05 02:30 | Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? | SELL | 0.89 | $8.37 |
| 06-04 10:29 | Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 1.5% and 3%? | SELL | 0.84 | $9.98 |
| 06-04 03:08 | Will Michael Masuda advance from the CA-05 primary election? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.15 |
| 06-04 01:31 | Will Brandon West be the Democratic nominee for NV-03? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 06-04 01:31 | Will Moises Ballesteros win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 06-04 01:31 | Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by June 30? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.22 |
| 06-04 01:31 | Will Aaron Boone win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.30 |
| 06-03 20:23 | Will Innio not IPO before August 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.07 |
| 06-03 15:58 | Will Innio not IPO before August 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.10 |
| 06-03 08:40 | U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $1.43 |
| 06-03 02:26 | Will Innio's market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.82 | $11.90 |