perepuk
0x51f28ce013c317c1ce3de78aaa6107ed962538ef
- Realised P&L
- $-8.6k
- Volume
- $962.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,561
- Open portfolio
- $559.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,561
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.6kat 0.199Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?
- +$2.9kat 0.472Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?
- +$1.4kat 0.694Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?
- +$662.93at 0.832Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?
- +$641.71at 0.045Epstein client list released by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 14:41 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.0k |
| 10-30 14:32 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | SELL | 0.72 | $22.92 |
| 10-27 11:52 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $261.66 |
| 10-23 15:31 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? | BUY | 0.6 | $57.72 |
| 10-23 15:31 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M? | BUY | 0.73 | $59.50 |
| 06-10 02:48 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.8 | $2.60 |
| 06-09 15:45 | Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June? | SELL | 0.711 | $3.19 |
| 06-08 10:43 | Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.16 |
| 06-05 02:30 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? | SELL | 0.68 | $5.96 |
| 06-05 02:30 | Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? | SELL | 0.89 | $8.37 |
| 06-04 10:29 | Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 1.5% and 3%? | SELL | 0.84 | $9.98 |
| 06-04 03:08 | Will Michael Masuda advance from the CA-05 primary election? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.15 |
| 06-04 01:31 | Will Brandon West be the Democratic nominee for NV-03? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 06-04 01:31 | Will Moises Ballesteros win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 06-04 01:31 | Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by June 30? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.22 |