Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
- Tick
- 0.001
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-12-31
- Resolves by
- https://lmarena.ai/
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.001 | 65,781 | 65,781 |
| 0.002 | 10,448 | 76,229 |
| 0.003 | 11,278 | 87,507 |
| 0.004 | 3,000 | 90,506 |
| 0.005 | 2,390 | 92,896 |
| 0.012 | 156 | 93,052 |
| 0.018 | 100 | 93,152 |
| 0.019 | 50 | 93,202 |
| 0.022 | 630 | 93,832 |
| 0.023 | 1,139 | 94,971 |
| 0.025 | 5,064 | 100,034 |
| 0.026 | 872 | 100,906 |
Spread—Mid—
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|
Spread—Mid—
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.999 | 65,781 | 65,781 |
| 0.998 | 10,448 | 76,229 |
| 0.997 | 11,278 | 87,507 |
| 0.996 | 3,000 | 90,506 |
| 0.995 | 2,390 | 92,896 |
| 0.988 | 156 | 93,052 |
| 0.982 | 100 | 93,152 |
| 0.981 | 50 | 93,202 |
| 0.978 | 630 | 93,832 |
| 0.977 | 1,139 | 94,971 |
| 0.975 | 5,064 | 100,034 |
| 0.974 | 872 | 100,906 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crypto-Well | Yes | 46,616.86 |
| AnimalEater | Yes | 27,338.31 |
| tmleafs | Yes | 8,999.99 |
| Anne666 | Yes | 7,730.95 |
| 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938 | Yes | 7,635 |
| BabyGroot | Yes | 7,099.92 |
| 0x54d9…266e | Yes | 6,000 |
| Ohyeahohno | Yes | 5,500 |
| OnYesYes | Yes | 5,063.63 |
| 0xb92b…0a74 | Yes | 5,000 |
| TruongMyLan | Yes | 3,231.68 |
| lpgb | Yes | 2,990.55 |
| forgotmydinner | Yes | 2,200.01 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 2,198.62 |
| 0x65de…9d0e | Yes | 2,000 |
| balthazar | Yes | 1,799.35 |
| SpringlyFawl | Yes | 1,598.42 |
| 0xeE8aef5aDC04FFb8Cb3417233389473246BDf0b0-1773254929104 | Yes | 1,338.05 |
| Guest288228 | Yes | 1,185.81 |
| 0x91819e7ddB7250B459aa9dAD828b05bF976364ac-1768087232866 | Yes | 1,180.29 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:19:33 | BUY | Yes | 0.001 | 5,000 | $5.00 |
| 10:00:31 | BUY | Yes | 0.001 | 2,000 | $2.00 |
| 17:37:57 | BUY | Yes | 0.001 | 2,000 | $2.00 |
| 17:36:55 | BUY | Yes | 0.001 | 4,000 | $4.00 |
| 06:18:06 | SELL | Yes | 0.001 | 152 | $0.15 |
| 06:13:24 | SELL | Yes | 0.001 | 17,458 | $17.46 |
| 22:37:52 | SELL | Yes | 0.001 | 200 | $0.20 |
| 22:37:19 | SELL | Yes | 0.001 | 200 | $0.20 |
| 21:44:37 | SELL | Yes | 0.001 | 184 | $0.18 |
| 21:44:37 | SELL | Yes | 0.001 | 165 | $0.16 |
| 21:44:27 | SELL | Yes | 0.001 | 298 | $0.30 |
| 21:44:24 | SELL | Yes | 0.001 | 50 | $0.05 |
| 21:44:07 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 101 | $101.37 |
| 21:44:06 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 49 | $48.48 |
| 15:31:43 | SELL | No | 0.998 | 61 | $60.88 |
| 15:24:01 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 51 | $51.21 |
| 15:14:55 | SELL | Yes | 0.001 | 65 | $0.06 |
| 15:14:54 | SELL | Yes | 0.001 | 75 | $0.08 |
| 15:14:39 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 100 | $99.90 |
| 15:14:39 | SELL | Yes | 0.001 | 79 | $0.08 |
| 15:14:39 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 30 | $29.97 |
| 15:14:39 | SELL | Yes | 0.001 | 121 | $0.12 |
| 15:02:46 | SELL | Yes | 0.001 | 7 | $0.01 |
| 14:58:40 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 10 | $9.73 |
| 13:51:00 | BUY | No | 0.999 | 50 | $49.95 |