PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tmleafs

0x7a8528725ae605387ca5de5c142574bac9db3c54

Realised P&L
$-513.33
Volume
$950.2k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$25.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$9.74$3.74
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$9.26$3.08
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0020.001$6.75$17.23
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$5.00
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche · Avalanche0.6100.000$0.00$3.00
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany0.8800.000$0.00$20.00
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes · Hurricanes0.5900.000$0.00$15.00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$10.99
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$5.99
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens · Canadiens0.0140.000$0.00$2.00
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$7.00
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$20.78
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$7.67
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$3.38
Will Ons Jabeur win the 2026 Women’s French Open? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 21:27Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.002$8.00
09-14 21:26Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.01$20.00
09-09 03:01Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.001$3.00
09-09 03:00Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.002$5.00
09-02 14:39Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.001$2.00
09-02 14:39Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.001$2.00
09-02 14:37Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.001$4.00
08-29 04:38Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.002$4.00
08-29 04:38Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.002$4.00
08-25 02:44Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.002$2.00
08-25 02:40Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.001$4.00
08-21 03:07Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.001$0.50
08-17 20:05Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.002$4.00
08-17 20:02Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.0020037065$2.93
08-15 08:37Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.002$6.00