tmleafs
0x7a8528725ae605387ca5de5c142574bac9db3c54
- Realised P&L
- $-513.33
- Volume
- $950.2k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $25.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.09at 0.602Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$8.05at 0.557Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$7.21at 0.006Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
- +$6.99at 0.004Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$6.55at 0.607Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 21:27 | Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $8.00 |
| 09-14 21:26 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $20.00 |
| 09-09 03:01 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 03:00 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 14:39 | Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 14:39 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 14:37 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 08-29 04:38 | Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.00 |
| 08-29 04:38 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.00 |
| 08-25 02:44 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 08-25 02:40 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 08-21 03:07 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 08-17 20:05 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.00 |
| 08-17 20:02 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0020037065 | $2.93 |
| 08-15 08:37 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $6.00 |