Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
- Tick
- 0.01
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- None on this market
- Ends
- 2027-01-01
- Resolves by
- https://lmarena.ai/
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 946 | 946 |
| 0.06 | 1,101 | 2,047 |
| 0.07 | 6,349 | 8,396 |
| 0.08 | 1,189 | 9,584 |
| 0.12 | 20 | 9,604 |
| 0.59 | 61 | 9,665 |
| 0.79 | 101 | 9,766 |
| 0.81 | 750 | 10,516 |
| 0.84 | 1,113 | 11,629 |
| 0.87 | 1,370 | 13,000 |
| 0.90 | 1,959 | 14,959 |
| 0.93 | 3,308 | 18,267 |
Spread0.01Mid0.04
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.04 | 351 | 351 |
| 0.03 | 881 | 1,232 |
| 0.02 | 6,483 | 7,716 |
| 0.01 | 3,485 | 11,200 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.96 | 351 | 351 |
| 0.97 | 881 | 1,232 |
| 0.98 | 6,483 | 7,716 |
| 0.99 | 3,485 | 11,200 |
Spread0.01Mid0.95
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.95 | 946 | 946 |
| 0.94 | 1,101 | 2,047 |
| 0.93 | 6,349 | 8,396 |
| 0.92 | 1,189 | 9,584 |
| 0.88 | 20 | 9,604 |
| 0.41 | 61 | 9,665 |
| 0.21 | 101 | 9,766 |
| 0.19 | 750 | 10,516 |
| 0.16 | 1,113 | 11,629 |
| 0.13 | 1,370 | 13,000 |
| 0.10 | 1,959 | 14,959 |
| 0.07 | 3,308 | 18,267 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| thecaricature | Yes | 345.6 |
| DooBieZ | Yes | 249.99 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 164.1 |
| Wordsmith | Yes | 100 |
| AJSV | Yes | 95.2 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 68.55 |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 63 |
| mrmuller | Yes | 60 |
| protonboy | Yes | 49.98 |
| 1BTCis1BTC | Yes | 40 |
| dropmeplease | Yes | 20 |
| sybaujustbet | Yes | 20 |
| MakeItRainAgain | Yes | 14.39 |
| 247525 | Yes | 10 |
| 0xc6d7…4399 | Yes | 4.4 |
| tja | No | 841 |
| 0x7a28z1 | No | 200 |
| cd30gfu530p0 | No | 100.78 |
| 0xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-1786041153188 | No | 60.23 |
| deepsleep | No | 50 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:47:23 | SELL | No | 0.95 | 2 | $2.00 |
| 14:19:58 | BUY | Yes | 0.05 | 50 | $2.50 |
| 23:07:41 | BUY | Yes | 0.05 | 95 | $4.76 |
| 21:50:23 | BUY | Yes | 0.05 | 60 | $3.00 |
| 06:27:22 | SELL | No | 0.95 | 9 | $8.55 |
| 17:55:51 | BUY | No | 0.96 | 47 | $44.69 |
| 11:46:28 | SELL | No | 0.95 | 6 | $5.53 |
| 19:18:00 | SELL | Yes | 0.05 | 20 | $1.00 |
| 19:42:46 | BUY | No | 0.94 | 60 | $56.62 |
| 19:21:52 | BUY | No | 0.9399996221 | 2 | $1.99 |
| 16:07:37 | SELL | Yes | 0.06 | 600 | $36.00 |
| 16:07:12 | BUY | No | 0.9399999957 | 9 | $8.82 |
| 16:07:10 | SELL | Yes | 0.06 | 20 | $1.20 |
| 16:07:07 | BUY | No | 0.94 | 6 | $6.07 |
| 16:07:07 | BUY | No | 0.9399999998 | 101 | $94.73 |
| 16:07:07 | BUY | No | 0.94 | 6 | $5.47 |
| 16:07:06 | BUY | No | 0.93 | 841 | $782.13 |
| 11:03:40 | BUY | Yes | 0.08 | 50 | $4.00 |
| 03:54:07 | SELL | Yes | 0.07 | 20 | $1.40 |
| 23:49:11 | SELL | Yes | 0.07 | 20 | $1.40 |
| 12:19:31 | SELL | Yes | 0.07 | 90 | $6.30 |
| 16:36:05 | BUY | No | 0.93 | 10 | $9.30 |
| 16:31:58 | BUY | No | 0.93 | 20 | $18.60 |
| 16:11:58 | BUY | No | 0.93 | 20 | $18.60 |
| 19:21:13 | SELL | Yes | 0.07 | 100 | $7.00 |