PolyBot

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Traders

deepsleep

0x83946fd2a83b4c0045a17a938ae0802dfaf58d66

Realised P&L
$455.09
Volume
$30.7k
Markets traded
397
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded397
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9470.958$457.71+$5.19
Databricks IPO before 2027? · No0.9140.952$228.36+$8.97
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9450.962$213.93+$3.58
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? · No0.8650.840$212.54$6.42
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.7640.961$211.31+$43.13
Rippling IPO before 2027? · No0.9130.950$180.50+$7.10
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · No0.7700.945$108.44+$20.02
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · No0.8640.974$97.34+$10.95
Stripe IPO before 2027? · No0.8730.953$96.88+$8.11
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.9200.895$89.50$2.50
Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9100.901$82.86$0.76
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No0.6390.805$80.49+$16.56
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8180.825$74.25+$0.65
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · No0.8570.925$69.37+$5.06
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation? · No0.8820.865$69.20$1.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 14:11Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.897$8.97
09-13 17:38Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?SELL0.93$4.65
09-13 17:14Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.75$7.50
09-13 17:13Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.72$7.20
09-08 15:36Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?BUY0.87$8.70
09-06 15:55Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
09-05 05:20Will Rivian announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.93$18.60
09-04 18:42Will Rivian announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.93$18.60
09-03 09:37Databricks IPO before 2027?BUY0.93$46.50
09-02 17:53Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$9.39
09-02 17:53Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$9.39
09-02 17:50US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?BUY0.91$4.55
09-02 17:43Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.91$45.50
09-02 17:37Rippling IPO before 2027?BUY0.93$27.90
09-02 17:30Databricks IPO before 2027?BUY0.93$9.30