deepsleep
0x83946fd2a83b4c0045a17a938ae0802dfaf58d66
- Realised P&L
- $455.09
- Volume
- $30.7k
- Markets traded
- 397
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded397
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$135.02at 0.321Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 12?
- +$108.26at 0.795Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
- +$105.59at 0.875Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 17?
- +$85.13at 0.163Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$67.59at 0.386Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 14:11 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.897 | $8.97 |
| 09-13 17:38 | Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 09-13 17:14 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 09-13 17:13 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 09-08 15:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 09-06 15:55 | Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 05:20 | Will Rivian announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 09-04 18:42 | Will Rivian announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 09-03 09:37 | Databricks IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 09-02 17:53 | Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.39 |
| 09-02 17:53 | Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.39 |
| 09-02 17:50 | US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 09-02 17:43 | Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $45.50 |
| 09-02 17:37 | Rippling IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 09-02 17:30 | Databricks IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |