PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

deepsleep

0x83946fd2a83b4c0045a17a938ae0802dfaf58d66

Realised P&L
$395.63
Volume
$27.3k
Markets traded
343
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded343
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · No0.8570.895$232.70+$9.75
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9310.960$220.69+$6.54
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.7640.955$210.10+$41.92
ByteDance IPO before 2027? · No0.8450.935$137.99+$13.32
Stripe IPO before 2027? · No0.8730.975$112.17+$11.71
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9140.946$104.00+$3.42
Databricks IPO before 2027? · No0.8970.920$92.00+$2.30
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · No0.8640.905$90.49+$4.10
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No0.6440.825$82.49+$18.10
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · No0.7320.855$76.74+$11.07
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.935$74.77$0.40
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · No0.8390.959$67.09+$8.40
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? · No0.8410.865$60.57+$1.65
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? · No0.8900.983$53.30+$5.02
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8050.960$52.77+$8.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 03:23Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?SELL0.79$15.80
07-19 22:08Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.929$9.29
07-18 07:04Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?SELL0.953$8.58
07-18 01:48Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?SELL0.97$4.85
07-18 01:47Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?SELL0.9699975$7.76
07-15 20:51England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5775$2.89
07-15 10:16Databricks IPO before 2027?BUY0.9$4.50
07-14 20:42France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSELL0.05$0.25
07-14 19:39France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.645$12.90
07-14 15:38FDA approves Retatrutide this year?BUY0.89$12.70
07-14 15:19Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?BUY0.9$4.50
07-14 15:16FDA approves Retatrutide this year?BUY0.89$17.80
07-14 15:16FDA approves Retatrutide this year?BUY0.89$8.90
07-14 14:04Databricks IPO before 2027?BUY0.91$9.10
07-13 17:03Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United?BUY0.928$9.28