deepsleep
0x83946fd2a83b4c0045a17a938ae0802dfaf58d66
- Realised P&L
- $395.63
- Volume
- $27.3k
- Markets traded
- 343
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded343
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$135.02at 0.321Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 12?
- +$108.26at 0.795Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
- +$105.59at 0.876Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 17?
- +$85.53at 0.160Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$68.30at 0.379Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 03:23 | Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | SELL | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 07-19 22:08 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.929 | $9.29 |
| 07-18 07:04 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? | SELL | 0.953 | $8.58 |
| 07-18 01:48 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 07-18 01:47 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? | SELL | 0.9699975 | $7.76 |
| 07-15 20:51 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5775 | $2.89 |
| 07-15 10:16 | Databricks IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 07-14 20:42 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 07-14 19:39 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.645 | $12.90 |
| 07-14 15:38 | FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | BUY | 0.89 | $12.70 |
| 07-14 15:19 | Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 07-14 15:16 | FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 07-14 15:16 | FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 07-14 14:04 | Databricks IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 07-13 17:03 | Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United? | BUY | 0.928 | $9.28 |