mrmuller
0x975dfcf6d2d8268f563c693fc748ae58876f01be
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $842.2k
- Markets traded
- 292
- Open portfolio
- $217.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded292
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.77at 0.288Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by December 31?
- +$29.77at 0.051Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
- +$23.75at 0.032Will there be no coalition by October 31?
- +$21.04at 0.019Will the next Dutch government be another combination?
- +$17.41at 0.160Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 09:24 | Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31? | SELL | 0.0499528571 | $3.50 |
| 09-15 09:23 | Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 09-15 09:23 | Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.10 |
| 09-15 09:22 | Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $40B by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 09:20 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 09:19 | Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 09:16 | Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $300B by December 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 09-15 09:15 | Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 09:15 | Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.05 |
| 09-15 09:13 | Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 09:13 | Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 09:11 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | SELL | 0.0406521881 | $6.23 |
| 09-15 09:10 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.40 |
| 09-14 09:46 | Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $12.12 |
| 09-14 09:43 | Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.50 |