sybaujustbet
0xa2d102b839c75963f63ac50854f37d94fef3d015
- Realised P&L
- $416.96
- Volume
- $280.9k
- Markets traded
- 273
- Open portfolio
- $9.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded273
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.180 | $3.60 | +$1.20 |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.095 | $1.90 | −$0.30 |
| New COVID variant of concern before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.075 | $1.50 | −$1.10 |
| Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.055 | $1.10 | −$0.30 |
| Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.045 | $0.90 | −$0.50 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.17 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31? · No | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.70 |
| Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$610.93at 0.753Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
- +$411.48at 0.707Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- +$287.49at 0.731Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?
- +$230.10at 0.767Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
- +$209.86at 0.910Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 22:46 | Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 09-04 22:46 | Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $18.80 |
| 09-04 22:46 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.84778 | $42.39 |
| 06-12 08:13 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.169 | $67.09 |
| 06-12 08:09 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.17 | $67.49 |
| 06-12 07:36 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.188 | $8.20 |
| 06-12 07:31 | FaZe roster change Before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.28 |
| 06-12 07:31 | Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? | SELL | 0.058 | $1.16 |
| 06-12 07:31 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.037 | $7.40 |
| 06-12 07:30 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.186 | $6.13 |
| 06-04 17:20 | FaZe roster change Before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.29 |
| 06-04 17:20 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | SELL | 0.984 | $196.80 |
| 06-02 14:15 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $32.00 |
| 05-29 20:24 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.062 | $12.40 |
| 05-26 20:28 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $26.00 |