PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Wordsmith

0x3659ffabb68afd623f933440f4c506ba9e780451

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$8.69M
Markets traded
334
Open portfolio
$783.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded334
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0590.140$139.51+$80.53
Will LI.FI launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1500.165$109.85+$10.25
Will LI.FI launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.1190.115$61.66$2.33
Will LI.FI launch a token by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.1380.170$51.80+$9.80
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0010.001$50.62$50.62
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0010.001$50.00$50.00
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0010.001$50.00$50.00
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0010.001$50.00$50.00
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0010.002$37.50+$12.50
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.3780.355$18.57$1.19
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? · Yes0.2650.230$13.80$2.10
Base FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.3560.375$11.73+$0.58
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0940.075$11.25$2.82
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? · Yes0.1520.135$10.09$1.26
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes0.3100.305$9.32$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 20:55Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?SELL0.08$2.04
09-16 20:54Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?SELL0.07993$4.00
09-16 20:53Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?SELL0.08$4.08
09-16 20:53Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?SELL0.37$22.20
09-14 08:42Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?BUY0.027$2.70
09-13 22:01Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?SELL0.13$2.99
09-13 22:00Base FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-13 22:00Base FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY0.36$10.80
09-13 21:59Base FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.3799999924$2.00
09-11 10:19Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?SELL0.4476923077$11.64
09-11 10:14Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.001$19.18
09-10 07:11Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?BUY0.1899999962$6.00
09-10 07:11Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?BUY0.27$8.10
09-10 07:10Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?BUY0.31$9.30
09-10 07:04Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?SELL0.001$5.52