Wordsmith
0x3659ffabb68afd623f933440f4c506ba9e780451
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $8.69M
- Markets traded
- 334
- Open portfolio
- $783.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded334
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$675.48at 0.001Will José María Balcazar be the next President of Peru?
- +$149.71at 0.001Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$93.77at 0.001Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$90.62at 0.001Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$89.26at 0.001Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:55 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.04 |
| 09-16 20:54 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026? | SELL | 0.07993 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 20:53 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.08 |
| 09-16 20:53 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $22.20 |
| 09-14 08:42 | Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.027 | $2.70 |
| 09-13 22:01 | Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.99 |
| 09-13 22:00 | Base FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:00 | Base FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.36 | $10.80 |
| 09-13 21:59 | Base FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 10:19 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? | SELL | 0.4476923077 | $11.64 |
| 09-11 10:14 | Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $19.18 |
| 09-10 07:11 | Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $6.00 |
| 09-10 07:11 | Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.10 |
| 09-10 07:10 | Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.31 | $9.30 |
| 09-10 07:04 | Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.52 |