Wordsmith
0x3659ffabb68afd623f933440f4c506ba9e780451
- Realised P&L
- $859.37
- Volume
- $4.81M
- Markets traded
- 272
- Open portfolio
- $325.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded272
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$675.48at 0.001Will José María Balcazar be the next President of Peru?
- +$150.02at 0.001Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$89.56at 0.001Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$59.74at 0.001Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
- +$48.67at 0.001Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 09:51 | Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 09:48 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0026635424 | $20.65 |
| 08-01 17:42 | Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0379999824 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 17:41 | Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 08-01 17:40 | Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.88 |
| 08-01 17:36 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $3.20 |
| 08-01 17:35 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026? | BUY | 0.1729999664 | $4.00 |
| 08-01 17:35 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 08-01 17:33 | Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 07-31 09:28 | Will Omoyele Sowore win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.24 |
| 07-31 09:25 | Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2299999793 | $7.00 |
| 07-31 09:25 | Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2069089389 | $6.00 |
| 07-31 09:24 | Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2799999515 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 09:23 | Base FDV above $5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 07-31 09:22 | Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4099999823 | $13.00 |