PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MakeItRainAgain

0x113d1c86a0fb8858be2d5e971f1bc5490108abab

Realised P&L
$-11.30
Volume
$13.6k
Markets traded
312
Open portfolio
$2.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded312
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.045$0.65−$0.22
Will the Washington Wizards be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? · Yes0.0500.025$0.50−$0.50
Will Tennessee Titans advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · Yes0.0400.018$0.44−$0.56
Will Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election? · Yes0.0400.044$0.30+$0.03
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.0500.069$0.14+$0.04
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes0.0490.037$0.04−$0.01
Will Michael Bush win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0400.001$0.01−$0.99
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 13? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$0.04
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00−$1.10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 12? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$0.24
Will "The Whisper Man" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 01:06Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in August?SELL0.001$0.01
09-01 01:04Will Solana reach $120 in August?SELL0.001$0.01
09-01 01:04Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in August?SELL0.001$0.01
08-31 21:15US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?SELL0.001$0.01
08-31 21:13US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?SELL0.001$0.02
08-31 20:59Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.001$0.01
08-28 14:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 28?SELL0.001$0.01
08-28 14:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 28?SELL0.001$0.02
08-27 20:59Will Yash Patel be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 7)?SELL0.001$0.02
08-21 13:00Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?SELL0.003$0.06
08-19 14:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19?SELL0.001$0.02
08-15 21:12Brazil bans Discord by August 15, 2026?SELL0.001$0.01
08-15 21:10Brazil bans Discord by August 15, 2026?SELL0.001$0.02
08-14 11:44Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 14?SELL0.01$0.10
08-12 09:28Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?SELL0.975$1.30