PolyBot

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Will Meta's Watermelon model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-07-01
Resolves by
https://agi.safe.ai/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.022. down 0.068 over the period, from 0.090. Range 0.022 to 0.200. 166 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0282828
0.0292048
0.059100148
0.078140288
0.07942330
0.10780410
0.108147557
0.19160617
0.22420637
0.22580717
0.22620737
0.22840777

Spread0.014Mid0.021

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.01433
0.0112023
0.0101033
0.0062154
0.004242296
0.002200496
0.0012,5703,066

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.98633
0.9892023
0.9901033
0.9942154
0.996242296
0.998200496
0.9992,5703,066

Spread0.014Mid0.979

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9722828
0.9712048
0.941100148
0.922140288
0.92142330
0.89380410
0.892147557
0.80960617
0.77620637
0.77580717
0.77420737
0.77240777

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes510.98
Contentious-DinnerdateYes251.62
HaradwaithYes247.25
onyxtYes115.38
Computerdude111Yes107.99
pootytherewardfarmerYes83.5
73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.Yes77.45
0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998Yes60
Numitus1994Yes42
pppnnYes40
cigarettesYes40
youtube-traderYes33.47
PPMTYes30.09
0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578Yes27.94
chaosj89Yes25.2
CT-testYes24.84
chaosj88Yes20.79
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
HOSOBEARYes20
HosoTraderYes20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:30:46BUYNo0.985699650117$17.00
00:28:48BUYNo0.985758339433$33.00
22:43:39BUYNo0.986478686328$27.76
22:43:39BUYNo0.941183$172.42
22:43:34BUYNo0.94110$9.41
22:43:33BUYNo0.940999998634$32.08
22:43:33BUYNo0.9197240201176$161.43
22:43:33BUYNo0.94120$18.82
21:28:24BUYNo0.88918$16.16
17:14:41BUYNo0.8785900007410$360.07
14:52:03BUYYes0.1165126778252$29.32
05:23:24SELLNo0.891354520$17.83
17:47:36SELLYes0.08437$3.12
17:13:58BUYYes0.10320$2.06
13:41:45BUYYes0.07320$1.43
13:12:03SELLNo0.9220$18.40
13:11:55BUYYes0.06858$3.96
11:31:06BUYYes0.07338$2.77
09:40:21BUYYes0.08138$3.07
08:33:06BUYYes0.08339$3.20
04:12:45SELLNo0.92820$18.56
04:12:36BUYYes0.055416896719$1.03
04:12:36BUYYes0.0525$1.26
04:12:34BUYYes0.0521$1.04
03:32:48SELLYes0.03620$0.72