PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 31, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.025. down 0.017 over the period, from 0.042. Range 0.016 to 0.043. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0413030
0.074248278
0.12420298
0.1259307
0.12720327
0.29660387
0.379127514
0.50990604
0.510204808
0.589120928
0.5905933
0.740801,013

Spread0.031Mid0.026

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.010191191
0.00514205
0.00418223
0.0036230
0.002400630
0.0012,4833,113

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.990191191
0.99514205
0.99618223
0.9976230
0.998400630
0.9992,4833,113

Spread0.031Mid0.974

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9593030
0.926248278
0.87620298
0.8759307
0.87320327
0.70460387
0.621127514
0.49190604
0.490204808
0.411120928
0.4105933
0.260801,013

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Numitus1994Yes248
AJSVYes146.11
youtube-traderYes70
Dr.PNLYes61
needleladderYes60
frontiertradeYes55
GuyFromTinderYes30
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
ramc2005Yes20
0x86CA8077b2d19c4B46EF16F05992817A41fc16Be-1782535406963Yes20
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FYes20
ViscaElBarcaYes20
bjproloYes10
gfdgfvfvssddYes10
white34Yes9
PPMTYes5.01
8tSnjSWgyo26GxtNo487.04
gambler925No191
0xa5ef…2966No121.07
man-enoughNo5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
10:16:00BUYNo0.9895$4.95
09:48:31SELLYes0.0120$0.20
19:15:20BUYNo0.995$4.95
09:49:42SELLYes0.0161$0.61
09:48:39SELLYes0.00320$0.06
09:48:30BUYNo0.99720$19.94
09:48:30BUYNo0.976864406859$57.64
09:48:30BUYNo0.9447145204487$460.11
17:26:32SELLNo0.95540$38.20
15:44:42SELLYes0.130$3.00
15:44:36BUYNo0.9009259259216$194.60
12:26:57BUYNo0.8920$17.80
12:26:08BUYNo0.903673469449$44.28
05:53:05BUYNo0.910$9.00
00:47:09BUYYes0.1118$1.98
11:34:56BUYYes0.129$1.08
04:45:35BUYNo0.915$4.55
04:45:35BUYNo0.915$4.55
22:57:09BUYNo0.962$1.50
22:55:32BUYNo0.965$4.84
22:52:06BUYNo0.965$5.18
22:49:09BUYNo0.979$8.73
20:51:05BUYNo0.9620$19.20
20:16:02BUYNo0.964$3.91
20:15:54BUYNo0.962$1.54