8tSnjSWgyo26Gxt
0xbcbf737f4cc5c65f090db95f19f3ddbb5ce875a9
- Realised P&L
- $5.16
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.941 | 0.993 | $476.40 | +$24.62 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · Yes | 0.954 | 0.997 | $259.41 | +$11.18 |
| Will Trump meet with Mette Frederiksen by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.985 | 0.976 | $195.10 | −$1.90 |
| Will Trump meet with Mette Frederiksen by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.982 | 0.985 | $98.50 | +$0.30 |
| Will Trump meet with Jens-Frederik Nielsen by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.979 | 0.974 | $89.61 | −$0.48 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.927 | 0.920 | $69.00 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.66at 0.931Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 07:26 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $99.50 |
| 09-22 05:33 | Will Trump meet with Jens-Frederik Nielsen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 09-22 04:47 | Will Trump meet with Jens-Frederik Nielsen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $21.54 |
| 09-22 04:44 | Will Trump meet with Jens-Frederik Nielsen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $48.95 |
| 09-22 02:14 | Will Trump meet with Mette Frederiksen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 09-22 01:26 | Will Trump meet with Mette Frederiksen by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $98.20 |
| 09-22 00:01 | Will Trump meet with Mette Frederiksen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 09-21 23:53 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 09-21 23:41 | Will Trump meet with Mette Frederiksen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 09-21 22:32 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $38.48 |
| 09-21 10:30 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $38.60 |
| 09-21 09:46 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.926 | $92.60 |
| 09-21 09:40 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.926 | $92.60 |
| 09-21 06:23 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 09-20 23:53 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.955 | $19.10 |