Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-04
Rewards: 60 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.53. up 0.12 over the period, from 0.41. Range 0.41 to 0.55. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.53	59	59
0.54	8,747	8,806
0.55	2,800	11,606
0.56	415	12,020
0.57	1,684	13,704
0.59	107	13,811
0.60	120	13,931
0.61	113	14,044
0.62	45	14,089
0.63	50	14,139
0.67	400	14,539
0.68	2,063	16,601

Spread0.01Mid0.53

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.52	1,669	1,669
0.51	1,869	3,538
0.50	839	4,377
0.49	359	4,736
0.48	1,522	6,258
0.47	100	6,358
0.46	1,187	7,545
0.45	34	7,579
0.44	700	8,279
0.43	1,110	9,389
0.35	300	9,689
0.30	333	10,022

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.48	1,669	1,669
0.49	1,869	3,538
0.50	839	4,377
0.51	359	4,736
0.52	1,522	6,258
0.53	100	6,358
0.54	1,187	7,545
0.55	34	7,579
0.56	700	8,279
0.57	1,110	9,389
0.65	300	9,689
0.70	333	10,022

Spread0.01Mid0.47

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.47	59	59
0.46	8,747	8,806
0.45	2,800	11,606
0.44	415	12,020
0.43	1,684	13,704
0.41	107	13,811
0.40	120	13,931
0.39	113	14,044
0.38	45	14,089
0.37	50	14,139
0.33	400	14,539
0.32	2,063	16,601

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
RenanPresidente.	Yes	3,425.49
Sr.Matiaz	Yes	2,470.43
megaforest	Yes	2,119.92
balthazar	Yes	1,737.76
GroovyCr0c0dil3	Yes	1,500.21
SuperavitFiscal	Yes	1,434.69
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yes	1,065.51
bancomaster	Yes	1,033.39
Seeking-Alpha01	Yes	1,026.31
e46m3	Yes	799.36
darnak	Yes	672.85
0x4025c911Cf213D04ff2d409BAEe57D1b270c3644-1781053677729	Yes	537.26
alligatorr	Yes	505.25
MFS-000	Yes	381.9
LulaVaiPerder	Yes	379.43
Quarrelsome-Branch	Yes	369.93
0xBa28F82246c3420ae99474E51762FfD1fdEb30a5-1759508023469	Yes	313.24
peepeepooppoop	Yes	294.04
0xaccc…ef3a	Yes	202.71
0xe8b9C3AbD1c6C884187FC4617E7fF4AF9293E006-1775887847674	Yes	197.97

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
16:57:06	SELL	Yes	0.52	37	$18.98
14:33:02	BUY	No	0.48	8	$4.04
13:47:50	BUY	No	0.48	74	$35.40
13:47:50	BUY	No	0.48	19	$8.90
13:47:50	BUY	No	0.48	100	$48.00
13:36:00	BUY	No	0.48	60	$28.80
13:35:51	BUY	No	0.48	43	$20.52
13:35:42	BUY	No	0.48	120	$57.60
12:29:41	SELL	No	0.474	75	$35.55
07:58:44	BUY	No	0.48	10	$4.80
07:54:39	SELL	No	0.47	360	$169.20
07:54:38	BUY	Yes	0.52	370	$192.40
07:54:08	BUY	Yes	0.50439489	440	$221.89
07:54:08	BUY	Yes	0.5199999971	122	$63.60
07:53:42	BUY	No	0.5	10	$5.00
07:36:35	BUY	No	0.49	13	$6.54
07:36:35	BUY	No	0.49	47	$22.86
07:36:21	BUY	Yes	0.5277370992	1,310	$691.34
07:35:56	BUY	No	0.5	30	$15.00
07:35:56	BUY	No	0.51	62	$31.62
07:35:56	BUY	No	0.5	20	$9.87
07:35:56	BUY	No	0.5	10	$5.00
06:56:30	BUY	No	0.5	2	$1.00
06:56:29	BUY	Yes	0.526740388	37	$19.23
01:07:07	BUY	Yes	0.52	10	$5.20

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of… · PolyBot Pro