PolyBot

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Will Lawrence Katz win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-13
Resolves by
https://www.nobelprize.org/
Rewards
50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.19 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.04 to 0.26. 70 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0833
0.092023
0.405073
0.7480153
0.926159
0.93217376
0.94363739
0.956691,408
0.969202,328
0.977553,083
0.981,0364,119
0.991,2715,390

Spread0.03Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.058080
0.031595
0.022,6382,733
0.0110,07412,807

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.958080
0.971595
0.982,6382,733
0.9910,07412,807

Spread0.03Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9233
0.912023
0.605073
0.2680153
0.086159
0.07217376
0.06363739
0.056691,408
0.049202,328
0.037553,083
0.021,0364,119
0.011,2715,390

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
gamingcatYes499.99
0x5E922c731EAb5081e0d62569f5c467dd63F36c63-1723477301763Yes106
AJSVYes100
sdssdsYes40
GidGudYes20
0x67c8d7Daaf87158B9BEBf2EE6934943A506B4841-1778064240710Yes16.67
Tenebrus7No396.99
chessplayerNo100
tradetosurvive1No63.79
lolzzzlolNo50
galhammermanNo50
bufogodisNo42.91
PPMTNo30
CHAIN-1993No20.21
2B9SNo13.1
anoin123No12.3
lissartterNo3.56

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
10:44:34SELLNo0.92120$110.39
10:02:46BUYYes0.08100$8.00
10:02:46BUYYes0.069399988500$34.70
02:46:27BUYYes0.06106$6.36
04:57:17SELLNo0.9412$11.56
01:46:25SELLYes0.04100$4.00
20:52:20BUYYes0.059999998817$1.00
15:07:52SELLNo0.941$0.60
05:49:44SELLYes0.0621$1.27
05:49:38BUYNo0.93999999820$19.00
05:49:38BUYNo0.946$5.64
05:49:35SELLYes0.07100$7.00
05:47:59SELLYes0.07106$7.42
02:42:26BUYNo0.9321$19.07
02:42:20BUYNo0.929999999521$19.20
02:42:20SELLYes0.0740$2.80
01:37:51BUYYes0.0860$4.80
01:36:51BUYYes0.0840$3.20
23:10:31SELLYes0.0720$1.40
23:10:26SELLYes0.0852892562605$51.60
23:10:26BUYNo0.9320$18.60
23:05:40SELLNo0.8569$58.65
23:05:22SELLNo0.85112$95.16
23:05:22SELLNo0.8550$42.50
23:04:01BUYYes0.089999999143$3.83