PolyBot

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Traders

0x5E922c731EAb5081e0d62569f5c467dd63F36c63-1723477301763

0x5e922c731eab5081e0d62569f5c467dd63f36c63

Realised P&L
$-47.66
Volume
$7.4k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$19.84

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration70.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Autor win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? · Yes0.0600.080$8.00+$2.00
Will Lawrence Katz win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? · Yes0.0600.060$6.36+$0.00
Will Robert Barro win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? · Yes0.0700.064$5.48−$0.52
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No0.1640.000$0.00−$20.00
US government shutdown by October 1? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$7.00
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$10.01
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10? · No0.1700.000$0.00−$4.42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29? · No0.0320.000$0.00−$9.60
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · No0.3420.000$0.00−$10.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 02:48Will Robert Barro win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.0700850428$6.00
10-09 02:46Will Lawrence Katz win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.06$6.36
10-09 02:45Will David Autor win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.06$6.00
07-27 18:36Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?BUY0.032$3.65
05-19 08:47Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.61$41.14
02-11 20:51Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4299999945$29.00
02-11 20:39US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?BUY0.089999996$20.00
12-04 15:39Netanyahu out by 2025?BUY0.9769999851$47.00
11-04 03:48Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?SELL0.03$16.10
11-04 03:47Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?SELL0.901$10.95
10-10 02:46Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?BUY0.17$4.42
10-10 02:41Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?BUY0.029$10.01
10-09 01:57Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?SELL0.001$2.00
10-09 01:51Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?BUY0.005$10.00
10-09 01:50Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?SELL0.998$52.95