PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x67c8d7Daaf87158B9BEBf2EE6934943A506B4841-1778064240710

0x67c8d7daaf87158b9bebf2ee6934943a506b4841

Realised P&L
$8.54
Volume
$93.29
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$3.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration89.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Autor win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? · Yes0.0600.080$1.33+$0.33
Will Lawrence Katz win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? · Yes0.0600.060$1.00+$0.00
Will Victor Chernozhukov win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? · Yes0.0450.037$0.82−$0.18
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$1.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 20:52Will Victor Chernozhukov win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.0453872712$1.00
10-07 20:52Will Lawrence Katz win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
10-07 20:50Will David Autor win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
06-10 18:54Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.2699998217$1.09
06-10 18:52Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.664$0.10
06-10 18:51Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.664$1.02
05-15 11:38Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.4189999404$2.91
05-15 09:02Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETSELL0.91$1.09
05-15 09:02Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.8299999087$1.00
05-11 13:23Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.287999942$2.90
05-06 11:39Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY0.92$1.00
05-06 11:39Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY0.8699999913$1.00
05-06 11:39Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY0.8199999836$1.00
05-06 11:39Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY0.8499994475$1.00
05-06 11:39Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY0.8099999757$1.00