Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-07-01
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards: 50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.43. down 0.38 over the period, from 0.81. Range 0.34 to 0.87. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.44	100	100
0.45	890	990
0.46	900	1,890
0.47	76	1,966
0.48	52	2,018
0.51	40	2,058
0.53	50	2,109
0.70	30	2,139
0.83	20	2,159
0.84	5	2,164
0.85	686	2,850
0.86	461	3,311

Spread0.03Mid0.42

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.41	345	345
0.40	377	722
0.39	50	772
0.38	83	855
0.36	5	860
0.35	100	960
0.17	10	970
0.14	186	1,156
0.13	1,153	2,309
0.09	40	2,349
0.07	8	2,358
0.06	40	2,398

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.59	345	345
0.60	377	722
0.61	50	772
0.62	83	855
0.64	5	860
0.65	100	960
0.83	10	970
0.86	186	1,156
0.87	1,153	2,309
0.91	40	2,349
0.93	8	2,358
0.94	40	2,398

Spread0.03Mid0.57

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.56	100	100
0.55	890	990
0.54	900	1,890
0.53	76	1,966
0.52	52	2,018
0.49	40	2,058
0.47	50	2,109
0.30	30	2,139
0.17	20	2,159
0.16	5	2,164
0.15	686	2,850
0.14	461	3,311

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
BigMackyG	Yes	5,766.62
wannatakemoney	Yes	2,000
soll2	Yes	1,501.78
Luucker	Yes	663.01
spxtest	Yes	545
0x844AC1AEe4dC203080e63e650E043A8aD8145f53-1765558169086	Yes	363
hoodedmonkey	Yes	351.65
0x507b51630295906bC404c52Ef0456A7BDbEC0742-1769736987265	Yes	339
Ladbad121	Yes	330.41
SnapElectionAvoider	Yes	325.78
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	194.09
bissy-	Yes	177
Milfahka	Yes	149.99
chicanery.	Yes	142.02
AppleVCD	Yes	136.49
Praescientia	Yes	108.68
0x45e606f7849330AdAd37875f835FBdD1B7868FCa-1775496679263	Yes	100.01
0x6e4b…5aa1	Yes	91.41
NoTeacher	Yes	90.8
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	87.54

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:11:03	BUY	No	0.6	13	$7.80
21:11:03	BUY	No	0.5899999992	13	$7.80
21:11:03	BUY	No	0.59	14	$8.05
21:11:03	SELL	Yes	0.41	14	$5.60
16:25:06	SELL	Yes	0.44	114	$50.09
16:25:06	BUY	No	0.6065732031	51	$31.00
16:25:06	BUY	No	0.6	14	$8.30
12:04:01	BUY	No	0.55	25	$13.75
12:04:01	SELL	Yes	0.45	75	$33.75
07:13:16	BUY	Yes	0.44	50	$22.00
07:13:16	SELL	Yes	0.38	1	$0.33
07:13:16	BUY	Yes	0.43	50	$21.50
07:13:15	SELL	No	0.58	91	$52.95
07:13:15	BUY	Yes	0.4245748157	92	$39.13
06:12:55	BUY	Yes	0.4160572687	91	$37.78
05:38:49	SELL	No	0.59	52	$30.74
04:45:15	SELL	No	0.59	10	$6.16
04:23:27	SELL	Yes	0.4030112228	153	$61.77
04:20:40	SELL	No	0.57	6	$3.32
04:20:37	BUY	No	0.59	5	$2.95
04:09:15	SELL	No	0.56	36	$20.00
03:49:51	BUY	No	0.5803214111	51	$29.50
03:49:51	BUY	No	0.5366666667	150	$80.50
03:34:06	SELL	Yes	0.5225777778	225	$117.58
03:34:04	BUY	No	0.5042	50	$25.21