0x507b51630295906bC404c52Ef0456A7BDbEC0742-1769736987265
0x507b51630295906bc404c52ef0456a7bdbec0742
- Realised P&L
- $-5.1k
- Volume
- $213.8k
- Markets traded
- 490
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded490
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$937.74at 0.758Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
- +$307.29at 0.853Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$278.97at 0.933Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
- +$269.97at 0.880Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$261.67at 0.965Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 05:37 | Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.7363901355 | $162.44 |
| 07-31 00:09 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.232 | $3.83 |
| 07-30 23:41 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.283 | $6.65 |
| 07-30 18:29 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.889 | $9.09 |
| 07-30 18:21 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9258515842 | $93.51 |
| 07-30 18:16 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $74.00 |
| 07-29 23:47 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | BUY | 0.5876493993 | $70.00 |
| 07-29 16:11 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.9122870212 | $31.91 |
| 07-29 04:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July? | SELL | 0.995 | $89.30 |
| 07-29 04:09 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.948615148 | $24.67 |
| 07-28 08:00 | Will Bill Keating be the MA-09 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.9106620634 | $22.42 |
| 07-28 07:56 | Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.8633973097 | $52.63 |
| 07-28 07:55 | Will Russia target Kyiv by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 07-28 07:53 | Will Jake Auchincloss be the MA-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.93 | $13.28 |
| 07-28 07:52 | Will Jake Auchincloss be the MA-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.92 | $49.06 |