0x507b51630295906bC404c52Ef0456A7BDbEC0742-1769736987265
0x507b51630295906bc404c52ef0456a7bdbec0742
- Realised P&L
- $-5.3k
- Volume
- $248.2k
- Markets traded
- 605
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded605
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$924.72at 0.761Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
- +$430.53at 0.120Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?
- +$307.29at 0.853Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$280.23at 0.809Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?
- +$254.36at 0.935Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 06:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | SELL | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 10-31 03:31 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8409065421 | $89.98 |
| 10-31 03:26 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 10-31 03:25 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 10-30 02:08 | Panthers vs. Packers | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 10-30 02:08 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 10-30 01:50 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.812 | $150.22 |
| 10-30 01:41 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.97 | $289.06 |
| 10-30 01:29 | Will CCa win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.993 | $99.30 |
| 10-30 01:28 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.9413910018 | $551.98 |
| 10-30 01:28 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 10-30 01:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 10-30 01:18 | Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.790875 | $126.54 |
| 10-27 20:20 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.73 | $58.40 |
| 10-27 20:19 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.261 | $54.81 |