PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

AppleVCD

0xb7c47aa5380fdab7fc2158ac54bc526957a58407

Realised P&L
$43.57
Volume
$7.2k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$296.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · T10.8800.875$99.43−$0.57
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · Bilibili Gaming0.8300.825$99.40−$0.60
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · Gen.G0.7900.775$98.10−$1.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 12:04LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.8299999993$100.00
10-19 12:03LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.8799999996$100.00
10-19 12:03LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.7899999997$100.00
04-18 03:27Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?BUY0.972538336$200.00
02-01 03:40Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?BUY0.9629999999$200.00
01-29 16:09Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?SELL0.926026925$471.18
01-28 04:12Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.9826561979$500.00
01-28 04:11US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?SELL0.998$506.08
01-27 12:02US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?BUY0.9859999989$500.00
01-27 03:37U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?BUY0.3399999967$50.00
01-26 10:44Will Israel strike Gaza on January 25, 2026?SELL0.9697910885$294.91
01-26 09:50Will Israel strike Gaza on January 25, 2026?BUY0.9864942572$300.00
01-26 09:41US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?SELL0.981$228.13
01-26 09:39US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.8599999996$200.00
01-26 09:36Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?SELL0.998$809.76