AppleVCD
0xb7c47aa5380fdab7fc2158ac54bc526957a58407
- Realised P&L
- $43.57
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $296.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · T1 | 0.880 | 0.875 | $99.43 | −$0.57 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · Bilibili Gaming | 0.830 | 0.825 | $99.40 | −$0.60 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · Gen.G | 0.790 | 0.775 | $98.10 | −$1.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.56at 0.860US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$28.14at 0.860US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
- +$21.59at 0.974US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?
- +$16.00at 0.969US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
- +$9.76at 0.986Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 12:04 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-19 12:03 | LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.8799999996 | $100.00 |
| 10-19 12:03 | LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $100.00 |
| 04-18 03:27 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? | BUY | 0.972538336 | $200.00 |
| 02-01 03:40 | Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more? | BUY | 0.9629999999 | $200.00 |
| 01-29 16:09 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.926026925 | $471.18 |
| 01-28 04:12 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.9826561979 | $500.00 |
| 01-28 04:11 | US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $506.08 |
| 01-27 12:02 | US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.9859999989 | $500.00 |
| 01-27 03:37 | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BUY | 0.3399999967 | $50.00 |
| 01-26 10:44 | Will Israel strike Gaza on January 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.9697910885 | $294.91 |
| 01-26 09:50 | Will Israel strike Gaza on January 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.9864942572 | $300.00 |
| 01-26 09:41 | US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $228.13 |
| 01-26 09:39 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999996 | $200.00 |
| 01-26 09:36 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.998 | $809.76 |