PolyBot

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Traders

0x6e4bc6bb3f39912b5521f381e45d116e16be5aa1

0x6e4bc6bb3f39912b5521f381e45d116e16be5aa1

Realised P&L
$-78.79
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$138.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)19.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6180.420$70.85−$33.45
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? · No0.4420.580$44.81+$10.69
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? · No0.8360.815$17.06−$0.45
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? · No0.9000.755$5.87−$1.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 09:23Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.68$5.95
10-30 09:23Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?SELL0.36$14.13
10-30 07:28Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?SELL0.87$1.52
10-30 07:28Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?SELL0.74$1.82
10-30 07:28Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?SELL0.91$2.84
10-30 07:28Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?SELL0.94$3.39
10-30 07:28Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?SELL0.906$3.34
10-30 07:28Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?SELL0.79$2.97
10-30 07:27Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?SELL0.892$3.48
10-30 07:27Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.94$3.84
10-30 07:27Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?SELL0.29$1.51
10-30 07:27Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.48$3.01
10-30 07:27Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026?SELL0.44$3.08
10-30 07:27Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?SELL0.866$6.13
10-30 07:27Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?SELL0.959$6.85