chicanery.
0xa8c280df8fd9c1f08dd7da4294dd5e6ed985b635
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $17.0k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.21at 0.822Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$66.00at 0.560LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?
- +$53.90at 0.410US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$43.47at 0.855Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)
- +$-12.60at 0.042LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 07:16 | Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.0917011526 | $47.02 |
| 09-16 05:36 | Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | BUY | 0.260784475 | $66.59 |
| 09-13 13:19 | T20 Series Japan vs Malaysia, Women: Japan vs Malaysia | BUY | 0.91990828 | $919.91 |
| 09-11 17:24 | Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | BUY | 0.54 | $189.00 |
| 09-11 15:12 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.045 | $36.90 |
| 09-11 13:59 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.82 | $164.00 |
| 09-11 13:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.81 | $40.50 |
| 09-11 13:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.81 | $202.49 |
| 09-11 13:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.19 | $66.50 |
| 09-11 10:45 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $210.00 |
| 09-10 17:43 | Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | BUY | 0.53 | $219.53 |
| 09-10 04:47 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.39 | $42.90 |
| 09-09 18:16 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | SELL | 0.03 | $2.03 |
| 09-09 16:53 | Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.366 | $105.55 |
| 09-09 04:55 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | SELL | 0.14 | $21.00 |