PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

chicanery.

0xa8c280df8fd9c1f08dd7da4294dd5e6ed985b635

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$76.9k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$4.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · No0.5370.425$537.28−$141.24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5200.635$507.99+$92.00
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.6400.600$423.66−$28.23
No one announced as next James Bond? · No0.6720.859$423.27+$91.95
Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · Yes0.1800.285$339.33+$125.36
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · No0.7660.953$275.96+$54.15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.4100.545$272.50+$67.50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2200.275$247.50+$49.50
Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? · No0.5500.610$244.00+$24.00
Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.1160.150$217.27+$48.61
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? · No0.7500.795$198.75+$11.25
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4650.265$159.00−$120.00
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · No0.6790.760$151.27+$16.18
Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? · No0.3660.368$106.12+$0.58
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2500.245$81.13−$1.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:46Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?SELL0.001$1.23
11-01 15:02Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?BUY0.25$82.78
10-31 16:18Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.999$484.51
10-31 16:18Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.999$708.56
10-31 16:18Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.999$19.93
10-31 07:05Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?BUY0.258$514.97
10-30 19:59Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?SELL0.0020283699$5.42
10-30 13:58Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.279984$111.99
10-30 13:57Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.279875$111.95
10-30 13:45Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.9800362865$794.58
10-30 13:41Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.3$151.75
10-30 13:39Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.295$12.22
10-30 13:32Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.3515048679$20.22
10-30 12:58Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.4888120894$14.88
10-30 12:18Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.5054122442$57.05