Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.025. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.024. Range 0.019 to 0.041. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.029	32	32
0.030	283	315
0.042	66	380
0.044	39	419
0.124	45	464
0.125	9	474
0.585	550	1,024
0.586	5	1,029
0.590	435	1,464
0.976	14	1,477
0.977	14	1,492
0.987	9	1,501

Spread0.008Mid0.025

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.021	7	7
0.020	32	40
0.017	10	49
0.016	38	88
0.011	13	101
0.010	34	135
0.009	46	181
0.008	64	245
0.007	35	280
0.006	40	320
0.005	76	396
0.004	172	568

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.979	7	7
0.980	32	40
0.983	10	49
0.984	38	88
0.989	13	101
0.990	34	135
0.991	46	181
0.992	64	245
0.993	35	280
0.994	40	320
0.995	76	396
0.996	172	568

Spread0.008Mid0.975

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.971	32	32
0.970	283	315
0.958	66	380
0.956	39	419
0.876	45	464
0.875	9	474
0.415	550	1,024
0.414	5	1,029
0.410	435	1,464
0.024	14	1,477
0.023	14	1,492
0.013	9	1,501

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Joebama	Yes	1,459.37
ImJustKen	Yes	1,392.25
kanshifu	Yes	1,200
0x9067…86a5	Yes	388.88
puravida	Yes	283.17
0x7f90…036a	Yes	193.84
donthackme	Yes	143.77
e46m3	Yes	90.16
TronOG	Yes	71.4
awgraewrfa	Yes	70.32
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	55
planktonXD	Yes	39.16
howesr1970	Yes	38.88
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	35.55
Hugin-og-Munin	Yes	28.56
SiSi	Yes	20.88
yj1237	Yes	17.34
0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415	Yes	15
16r0ob	Yes	12.61
JustBot	Yes	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:25:34	BUY	No	0.979	5	$4.89
18:22:58	SELL	Yes	0.025	15	$0.36
16:45:07	SELL	Yes	0.03	13	$0.39
15:44:37	SELL	Yes	0.02	30	$0.60
09:00:51	SELL	Yes	0.016	25	$0.40
07:11:34	SELL	Yes	0.045	6	$0.25
12:20:22	SELL	Yes	0.04	1	$0.05
11:22:51	BUY	No	0.973	1	$1.30
11:21:21	SELL	No	0.862	1	$1.09
11:20:33	BUY	No	0.9739999857	1	$1.23
22:55:07	BUY	Yes	0.08	389	$31.11
08:50:00	SELL	Yes	0.042	6	$0.27
11:37:46	SELL	No	0.8644719905	34	$29.01
08:06:56	BUY	Yes	0.02	29	$0.57
06:34:16	BUY	No	0.98	5	$4.90
05:50:50	SELL	No	0.818	1	$0.83
20:54:34	SELL	Yes	0.014	5	$0.07
20:54:27	BUY	Yes	0.235	5	$1.17
00:22:40	BUY	No	0.99043	30	$29.71
09:07:30	BUY	No	0.99	1	$1.00
15:11:42	SELL	Yes	0.02	2	$0.03
14:57:50	SELL	Yes	0.02	10	$0.20
02:29:28	BUY	Yes	0.177227413	6	$1.01
02:24:40	BUY	Yes	0.1699998738	6	$1.01
14:47:18	SELL	Yes	0.03	3	$0.10