PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

yj1237

0x0185696658e72e43c68eee2b0c3ae9ef6437db3b

Realised P&L
$-59.56
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$16.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0870.015$8.52−$42.48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7300.955$6.54+$1.54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.6100.165$0.81−$2.19
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? · Yes0.1300.017$0.67−$4.46
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026? · Yes0.1730.025$0.43−$2.57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$5.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00−$11.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$2.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$20.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-14 20:43Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?SELL0.1585652985$5.10
04-12 14:18Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?SELL0.0912352563$11.34
04-09 04:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?BUY0.060999982$2.77
04-08 21:55Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?BUY0.0189999908$1.84
04-08 00:44Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.4399999648$5.00
04-08 00:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.64$3.55
04-08 00:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.56$7.46
04-07 23:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?BUY0.05$3.70
04-07 23:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?BUY0.0379999824$1.85
04-07 23:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?BUY0.0379999912$3.69
04-07 18:45Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?BUY0.1$20.00
04-07 16:39Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?BUY0.0616042487$9.25
04-07 16:38Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
04-07 16:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?BUY0.0929999846$4.64
04-07 16:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?BUY0.0390000004$4.62