kanshifu
0xc42f49919bfb2f735a7d4580200e6ad7d2cb78a0
- Realised P&L
- $10.6k
- Volume
- $1.25M
- Markets traded
- 794
- Open portfolio
- $187.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded794
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.549Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
- +$2.5kat 0.646Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
- +$1.4kat 0.998Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?
- +$983.55at 0.210US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$956.37at 0.781Will Lebron announce final season Tuesday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 08:45 | Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.005 | $130.18 |
| 09-23 09:30 | Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.021 | $6.26 |
| 09-19 12:17 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | SELL | 0.32 | $3.32 |
| 08-17 18:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.34 |
| 08-04 12:51 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.134 | $16.32 |
| 07-27 19:59 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.974 | $164.52 |
| 07-27 19:57 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? | SELL | 0.9009002002 | $508.50 |
| 07-22 23:33 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.70 |
| 07-14 15:44 | Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $301.11 |
| 07-13 13:50 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.56 |
| 06-17 00:55 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 06-12 23:50 | Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? | SELL | 0.9218378023 | $84.23 |
| 05-30 14:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.09 | $0.96 |
| 05-30 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | SELL | 0.92 | $9.71 |
| 05-30 14:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.15 | $1.58 |