0x7f900a36822f3320f8c0d92e3e5cd377d4e6036a
0x7f900a36822f3320f8c0d92e3e5cd377d4e6036a
- Realised P&L
- $-32.70
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $5.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026? · Yes | 0.258 | 0.025 | $4.85 | −$45.15 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.002 | $0.55 | −$14.45 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 10? · Yes | 0.479 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.44 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.64 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.52at 0.660Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 27?
- +$40.73at 0.630Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 27?
- +$24.02at 0.567Will Solana dip to $60 in February?
- +$22.47at 0.573Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?
- +$14.23at 0.649Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-09 22:53 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0409999974 | $15.00 |
| 04-09 22:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 04-09 22:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1268617952 | $59.44 |
| 04-09 22:51 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1 | $38.64 |
| 02-10 00:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 10? | BUY | 0.4794701845 | $100.00 |
| 02-10 00:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | BUY | 0.5599999993 | $100.00 |
| 02-08 15:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1499999989 | $100.00 |
| 02-08 14:59 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026? | BUY | 0.2579416229 | $50.00 |
| 02-08 14:57 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2293680896 | $100.00 |
| 02-06 15:51 | Will Solana dip to $60 in February? | SELL | 0.703173452 | $124.01 |
| 02-06 15:51 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? | SELL | 0.701747135 | $122.47 |
| 02-06 15:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | SELL | 0.741 | $114.23 |
| 02-06 07:38 | Will Solana dip to $60 in February? | BUY | 0.5669999977 | $100.00 |
| 02-06 07:37 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? | BUY | 0.5729999945 | $100.00 |
| 02-06 07:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | BUY | 0.6486756621 | $100.00 |