Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2028-11-07
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.512. up 0.010 over the period, from 0.502. Range 0.502 to 0.513. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.513	10,854	10,854
0.514	1,628	12,482
0.515	3,579	16,061
0.516	900	16,961
0.517	900	17,861
0.520	5,296	23,157
0.521	1,000	24,157
0.522	1,050	25,207
0.523	3,690	28,897
0.524	4,410	33,307
0.525	122	33,429
0.526	800	34,229

Spread0.001Mid0.512

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.512	2,384	2,384
0.511	2,855	5,239
0.510	8,062	13,300
0.506	1,143	14,443
0.505	7,310	21,754
0.503	104	21,858
0.502	4,492	26,349
0.501	2,871	29,220
0.500	5,575	34,796
0.497	864	35,660
0.493	460	36,120
0.492	5,429	41,549

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.488	2,384	2,384
0.489	2,855	5,239
0.490	8,062	13,300
0.494	1,143	14,443
0.495	7,310	21,754
0.497	104	21,858
0.498	4,492	26,349
0.499	2,871	29,220
0.500	5,575	34,796
0.503	864	35,660
0.507	460	36,120
0.508	5,429	41,549

Spread0.001Mid0.487

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.487	10,854	10,854
0.486	1,628	12,482
0.485	3,579	16,061
0.484	900	16,961
0.483	900	17,861
0.480	5,296	23,157
0.479	1,000	24,157
0.478	1,050	25,207
0.477	3,690	28,897
0.476	4,410	33,307
0.475	122	33,429
0.474	800	34,229

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
98better	Yes	535,847.05
Brokie	Yes	331,697.87
hose	Yes	151,121.26
GCottrell93	Yes	146,778.98
Pog	Yes	122,601.38
PantheraUncia	Yes	114,004.81
Cadabra	Yes	110,694.14
Anon5566	Yes	95,506.83
Inhabit	Yes	76,208.09
wan123	Yes	65,278.24
pizzabillgates	Yes	62,137.1
chungguskhan	Yes	59,960.34
Eatpraylove	Yes	50,942.88
ScottyNooo	Yes	48,099.76
someone2026	Yes	42,474.91
iraa3	Yes	41,692.16
escapingthemaze	Yes	39,999.96
dresden77	Yes	36,759.67
2B9S	Yes	24,619.78
0xb82645578B5D6665d89Ddfd748375B314796635A-1781370532295	Yes	24,160.98

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
16:12:45	BUY	No	0.4879999828	10	$5.00
15:35:10	SELL	Yes	0.512	32	$16.38
15:35:09	SELL	Yes	0.512	6,559	$3358.34
15:22:45	BUY	Yes	0.5129999736	8	$3.98
14:45:12	BUY	Yes	0.513	800	$410.40
14:42:43	BUY	No	0.4879999993	43	$21.15
14:42:42	BUY	Yes	0.5129999997	43	$22.21
14:17:45	BUY	No	0.4879999993	43	$21.15
14:15:51	SELL	Yes	0.512	96	$49.23
13:11:21	SELL	Yes	0.512	6	$2.99
13:10:28	BUY	Yes	0.5129999313	6	$3.00
13:04:33	SELL	Yes	0.512	67	$34.13
12:45:03	SELL	No	0.487	43	$21.11
12:14:33	SELL	Yes	0.512	180	$92.15
12:01:01	BUY	Yes	0.5129999839	10	$5.00
11:24:37	BUY	Yes	0.513	2,000	$1026.00
11:07:10	SELL	No	0.487	43	$21.11
11:04:37	BUY	No	0.4879999947	11	$5.14
10:07:51	SELL	Yes	0.512	2	$1.00
10:01:16	BUY	Yes	0.5129999313	2	$1.00
09:27:12	BUY	Yes	0.5129999905	43	$22.11
09:23:22	BUY	No	0.4879999993	43	$21.15
08:02:40	BUY	Yes	0.5129999839	19	$10.00
07:01:09	SELL	Yes	0.512	20	$10.18
06:59:16	SELL	Yes	0.512	5	$2.44