Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2028-11-08
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.381. down 0.021 over the period, from 0.402. Range 0.365 to 0.404. 147 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.382	50	50
0.383	595	645
0.384	1,196	1,841
0.385	50	1,891
0.386	3,364	5,255
0.387	1,646	6,901
0.388	697	7,598
0.389	220	7,818
0.390	199	8,017
0.391	1,027	9,044
0.392	1,207	10,251
0.393	2,702	12,953

Spread0.002Mid0.381

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.380	395	395
0.378	22	417
0.377	537	954
0.376	2,320	3,274
0.375	600	3,874
0.374	50	3,924
0.373	220	4,144
0.372	1,100	5,244
0.370	720	5,964
0.369	2,550	8,514
0.368	2,544	11,058
0.367	2,347	13,405

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.620	395	395
0.622	22	417
0.623	537	954
0.624	2,320	3,274
0.625	600	3,874
0.626	50	3,924
0.627	220	4,144
0.628	1,100	5,244
0.630	720	5,964
0.631	2,550	8,514
0.632	2,544	11,058
0.633	2,347	13,405

Spread0.002Mid0.619

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.618	50	50
0.617	595	645
0.616	1,196	1,841
0.615	50	1,891
0.614	3,364	5,255
0.613	1,646	6,901
0.612	697	7,598
0.611	220	7,818
0.610	199	8,017
0.609	1,027	9,044
0.608	1,207	10,251
0.607	2,702	12,953

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
98better	Yes	595,946.89
Brokie	Yes	331,697.87
hose	Yes	151,121.26
PantheraUncia	Yes	144,004.81
Pog	Yes	122,601.38
Cadabra	Yes	110,694.14
Inhabit	Yes	76,208.09
Anon5566	Yes	71,630.13
wan123	Yes	65,278.24
pizzabillgates	Yes	62,137.1
chungguskhan	Yes	59,960.34
Eatpraylove	Yes	53,942.88
iraa3	Yes	43,454.19
someone2026	Yes	42,474.91
escapingthemaze	Yes	39,999.96
tugator	Yes	38,499.75
dresden77	Yes	36,759.67
0xb82645578B5D6665d89Ddfd748375B314796635A-1781370532295	Yes	24,160.98
ScottyNooo	Yes	24,051.77
wpj	Yes	19,130.35

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:18:13	SELL	No	0.615	167	$102.70
15:18:13	BUY	Yes	0.386	50	$19.30
15:03:07	SELL	No	0.615	22	$13.53
15:02:57	SELL	Yes	0.381	22	$8.38
13:28:01	SELL	No	0.615	22	$13.53
13:27:18	SELL	Yes	0.381	22	$8.38
12:18:21	SELL	Yes	0.381	14	$5.33
12:18:04	SELL	No	0.615	14	$8.61
12:17:42	BUY	No	0.6185849057	53	$32.79
12:17:42	SELL	Yes	0.385	103	$39.69
08:12:46	SELL	Yes	0.3811597561	66	$25.00
06:38:37	SELL	Yes	0.385	7	$2.84
04:06:22	SELL	Yes	0.3818154636	66	$25.28
03:18:15	SELL	Yes	0.385875	32	$12.35
02:33:46	SELL	No	0.612	2	$1.16
21:23:42	SELL	No	0.612	28	$17.09
20:31:01	BUY	No	0.6119999955	82	$50.00
20:10:30	SELL	Yes	0.3813486878	344	$131.22
20:02:01	BUY	Yes	0.3889999754	10	$4.00
19:03:28	SELL	No	0.611	5	$3.24
17:44:19	BUY	No	0.612	20	$12.24
17:16:57	SELL	No	0.6125623328	116	$71.00
17:16:52	SELL	No	0.62	423	$262.37
17:16:52	BUY	Yes	0.3841238095	105	$40.33
17:16:52	BUY	Yes	0.385999996	58	$22.35