PolyBot

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Traders

0xb82645578B5D6665d89Ddfd748375B314796635A-1781370532295

0xb82645578b5d6665d89ddfd748375b314796635a

Realised P&L
$-3.6k
Volume
$491.6k
Markets traded
131
Open portfolio
$12.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded131
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4140.512$12.4k+$2.4k
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0050.001$1.52$13.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET · Down0.6780.000$0.00$300.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET · Up0.4770.000$0.00$300.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET · Up0.5600.000$0.00$400.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET · Down0.1600.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Up0.6010.000$0.00$300.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$653.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00$74.65
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1440.000$0.00$500.00
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel · Toby Samuel0.3730.000$0.00$1000.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET · Down0.4820.000$0.00$481.32
National Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton · Jakub Mensik0.4300.000$0.00$1.0k
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverev · Arthur Fery0.1400.000$0.00$1.0k
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Up0.4210.000$0.00$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 17:41Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.005$15.25
08-11 21:44National Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Ben SheltonBUY0.43$1.0k
07-15 15:42Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.419$15.08
07-15 15:40Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.419$1.1k
07-14 20:19Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.416$4.9k
07-12 18:48Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETBUY0.2932719472$63.64
07-12 18:48Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETBUY0.2601586172$233.89
07-12 18:48Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETBUY0.199344301$202.48
07-12 18:43Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevSELL0.030095406$501.59
07-12 17:48Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevBUY0.24$4.0k
07-12 17:44Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevSELL0.22$4.4k
07-11 22:42Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4452296625$2.0k
07-11 22:38Will England win on 2026-07-11?SELL0.3020222297$2.2k
07-11 19:34Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5325$3.9k
07-11 19:14Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETBUY0.5641278993$200.00