0xb82645578B5D6665d89Ddfd748375B314796635A-1781370532295
0xb82645578b5d6665d89ddfd748375b314796635a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.6k
- Volume
- $491.6k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $12.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.5kat 0.349Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fery
- +$4.6kat 0.314Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struff
- +$3.5kat 0.502Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettini
- +$2.2kat 0.534Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
- +$1.5kat 0.410Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 17:41 | Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $15.25 |
| 08-11 21:44 | National Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.43 | $1.0k |
| 07-15 15:42 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.419 | $15.08 |
| 07-15 15:40 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.419 | $1.1k |
| 07-14 20:19 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.416 | $4.9k |
| 07-12 18:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2932719472 | $63.64 |
| 07-12 18:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2601586172 | $233.89 |
| 07-12 18:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.199344301 | $202.48 |
| 07-12 18:43 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | SELL | 0.030095406 | $501.59 |
| 07-12 17:48 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.24 | $4.0k |
| 07-12 17:44 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | SELL | 0.22 | $4.4k |
| 07-11 22:42 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4452296625 | $2.0k |
| 07-11 22:38 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.3020222297 | $2.2k |
| 07-11 19:34 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5325 | $3.9k |
| 07-11 19:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5641278993 | $200.00 |