PolyBot

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Traders

0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402

0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402

Realised P&L
$140.4k
Volume
$26.28M
Markets traded
466
Open portfolio
$456.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded466
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 16:42Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9394805936$4.6k
10-31 16:20Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?SELL0.45$17.49
10-31 15:41Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?SELL0.77$572.41
10-31 15:40Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.45$2.0k
10-31 15:12Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.52$1.1k
10-31 01:10US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.577$1.7k
10-31 00:33US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.57$34.80
10-30 18:20Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.2990509285$19.9k
10-30 17:44Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.27$360.74
10-30 17:41US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?BUY0.6$618.17
10-30 17:07Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.92$30.13
10-30 14:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?BUY0.0785778211$931.04
10-30 14:21US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.5908281326$2.7k
10-30 12:39Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.45$114.47
10-30 08:43Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.69$3.4k