dresden77
0x437c54031fa45db31ac75a0b7f2241bcc81edfa4
- Realised P&L
- $-36.5k
- Volume
- $752.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $40.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.699Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$1.6kat 0.648Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?
- +$405.27at 0.881Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$339.26at 0.763Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
- +$-546.98at 0.364Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 09:11 | Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.880987885 | $3.0k |
| 10-08 09:08 | Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | SELL | 0.0631062672 | $1.6k |
| 10-06 23:48 | Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BUY | 0.0085360621 | $200.00 |
| 10-06 23:41 | Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.1155620156 | $1000.00 |
| 10-06 04:26 | Will The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the top Spotify album for 2025? | BUY | 0.1059645596 | $500.00 |
| 10-06 04:25 | Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | BUY | 0.1940729654 | $2.0k |
| 10-06 04:24 | Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | SELL | 0.8152091976 | $5.3k |
| 10-06 04:22 | Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | BUY | 0.1147996331 | $4.8k |
| 10-06 01:06 | Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1391344894 | $10.0k |
| 10-06 01:02 | Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.5806276972 | $2.0k |
| 10-06 01:02 | Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.1312484794 | $5.0k |
| 10-06 01:00 | Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.149563626 | $1000.00 |
| 10-06 00:52 | Will Curtis Sliwa drop out? | BUY | 0.3672995402 | $1000.00 |
| 10-02 20:37 | Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BUY | 0.015646339 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 20:37 | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BUY | 0.0299024174 | $5.0k |