PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

someone2026

0xa7ce6905990451685b70082424ac9129418d6398

Realised P&L
$48.2k
Volume
$1.70M
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$217.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration75.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8990.963$57.8k+$3.8k
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9050.981$40.4k+$3.1k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8340.895$38.0k+$2.6k
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9190.981$29.7k+$1.9k
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8570.983$29.5k+$3.8k
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4150.512$21.8k+$4.1k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2220.221$141.18$0.76
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9600.981$4.97+$0.10
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$896.99
Will Binance be accused of insider trading? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$280.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-29 18:56Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.82$34.8k
06-25 22:06Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.3821806871$1.2k
06-25 22:03Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.982$1.2k
06-25 22:03Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.982$280.72
06-25 22:03Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.982$1.6k
06-25 22:03Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.982$20.9k
06-25 22:03Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.982$46.8k
05-29 14:59Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.96$587.57
03-18 13:23Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.8990558684$49.0k
03-09 16:39Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?BUY0.9366879085$1.4k
03-09 15:13Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.2100581414$141.12
03-09 15:10Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?BUY0.921$27.63
03-09 15:09Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?BUY0.9482607934$3.7k
03-04 07:42Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.2115161506$1.9k
03-03 20:01Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.415$76.36
Trader someone2026 · PolyBot Pro