Sosneo
0x8a93f77d5baeffeae691bb8b8c641b0341f841b2
- Realised P&L
- $40.1k
- Volume
- $492.2k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $7.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.459 | 0.381 | $7.3k | −$1.5k |
| W35 Qian Daohu: Darja Suvirdjonkova vs Guyu Xu · Guyu Xu | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.67 |
| Lisbon: Patrick Schoen vs Svyatoslav Gulin · Patrick Schoen | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$950.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.1kat 0.449Florence: Dmitry Popko vs Daniele Rapagnetta
- +$13.8kat 0.274M15 Telavi: Andrea Fiorentini vs Artur Kukasian
- +$8.9kat 0.477M15 Tsaghkadzor: Florent Lagarrigue vs Daniel Khazime
- +$6.8kat 0.479W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova
- +$6.1kat 0.066W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 17:56 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.6064524496 | $420.88 |
| 10-29 17:56 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.3733333431 | $127.68 |
| 10-29 17:55 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0040047615 | $17.80 |
| 10-29 17:55 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.93 | $4.7k |
| 10-29 17:55 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.3776253894 | $9.70 |
| 10-29 17:55 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.6076546408 | $8.5k |
| 10-27 04:57 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.3896537665 | $7.2k |
| 10-20 18:22 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7252826213 | $2.4k |
| 10-20 11:10 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.726 | $587.33 |
| 10-20 11:08 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.8095764719 | $5.0k |
| 10-20 11:02 | Lisbon: Patrick Schoen vs Svyatoslav Gulin | SELL | 0.05 | $250.00 |
| 10-20 10:45 | Lisbon: Patrick Schoen vs Svyatoslav Gulin | BUY | 0.19010544 | $1.9k |
| 10-20 10:38 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.809240234 | $4.0k |
| 10-20 10:37 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7254504457 | $1.0k |
| 10-19 21:38 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6893308606 | $917.18 |