Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.18. up 0.08 over the period, from 0.10. Range 0.10 to 0.19. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.19	150	150
0.20	289	439
0.21	1,654	2,093
0.22	1,613	3,706
0.35	5	3,711
0.65	4,222	7,933
0.70	234	8,167
0.73	312	8,480
0.74	1,011	9,491
0.75	2,270	11,760
0.94	450	12,210
0.95	4,565	16,776

Spread0.01Mid0.18

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.18	163	163
0.17	1,149	1,312
0.16	2,860	4,172
0.15	2,816	6,988
0.14	1,516	8,504
0.13	677	9,181
0.12	2,062	11,243
0.11	3,443	14,686
0.10	5,472	20,158
0.09	5,020	25,178
0.07	286	25,464
0.06	1,333	26,797

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.82	163	163
0.83	1,149	1,312
0.84	2,860	4,172
0.85	2,816	6,988
0.86	1,516	8,504
0.87	677	9,181
0.88	2,062	11,243
0.89	3,443	14,686
0.90	5,472	20,158
0.91	5,020	25,178
0.93	286	25,464
0.94	1,333	26,797

Spread0.01Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.81	150	150
0.80	289	439
0.79	1,654	2,093
0.78	1,613	3,706
0.65	5	3,711
0.35	4,222	7,933
0.30	234	8,167
0.27	312	8,480
0.26	1,011	9,491
0.25	2,270	11,760
0.06	450	12,210
0.05	4,565	16,776

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
cookedquail	Yes	29,525.73
MKIsabella	Yes	11,531.41
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d	Yes	10,999.5
coolquail	Yes	9,208.83
GypSea1	Yes	7,480.34
Legato5	Yes	4,760
Hyperlong	Yes	3,458.45
hugoops	Yes	2,610.44
xvc347y	Yes	2,557.14
tocimprotocim	Yes	1,128.1
Odinsdottir	Yes	1,000.63
RajahSingh	Yes	998.8
mrblarg64	Yes	626.61
Jep-G	Yes	500
0x2E869AdC00706c3922E90fE568bD5b09C76e6Bc9-1759279552068	Yes	416.67
Spectrum	Yes	400
enrico-vasaio	Yes	300
LornaPredicts	Yes	295.5
Bravo414	Yes	282.26
MatthewHor	Yes	214.29

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:50:36	SELL	No	0.81	100	$81.00
18:50:40	SELL	No	0.81	113	$91.13
11:37:46	BUY	No	0.82	94	$77.08
11:20:33	BUY	Yes	0.1899999665	5	$1.02
01:26:52	SELL	Yes	0.18	10	$1.80
19:53:31	SELL	No	0.8	50	$40.00
19:29:24	SELL	No	0.8	50	$40.00
19:22:45	BUY	Yes	0.1899999962	26	$5.00
17:00:06	SELL	Yes	0.18	7	$1.29
15:17:19	SELL	No	0.79	50	$39.50
15:17:09	SELL	No	0.79	50	$39.50
15:05:42	BUY	Yes	0.1383177034	4,811	$665.49
23:43:45	SELL	No	0.87	5	$4.24
20:56:45	BUY	No	0.87	95	$82.76
05:04:34	BUY	Yes	0.1378487395	71	$9.84
19:12:39	SELL	Yes	0.12	34	$4.05
14:12:54	SELL	No	0.86	50	$43.00
14:06:21	BUY	Yes	0.1329668513	1,128	$150.00
12:58:54	BUY	Yes	0.1299999948	23	$3.00
09:02:46	BUY	Yes	0.1299999948	15	$2.00
08:58:12	SELL	No	0.88	5	$4.40
08:57:18	SELL	Yes	0.12	5	$0.60
07:55:28	BUY	Yes	0.13	600	$78.00
04:59:28	BUY	Yes	0.13	400	$52.00
23:04:30	BUY	Yes	0.13	100	$13.00