Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.17. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.12 to 0.19. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.17	1,008	1,008
0.18	1,210	2,217
0.35	5	2,222
0.45	46	2,269
0.49	3,922	6,190
0.50	2,909	9,099
0.56	5	9,104
0.59	483	9,587
0.65	24	9,612
0.81	526	10,138
0.83	1,471	11,608
0.84	312	11,920

Spread0.01Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	482	482
0.15	971	1,453
0.14	2,673	4,126
0.13	1,754	5,880
0.12	1,625	7,505
0.11	2,394	9,899
0.10	6,293	16,191
0.09	5,100	21,291
0.07	2,786	24,077
0.06	3,989	28,066
0.05	11,057	39,123
0.04	14,909	54,032

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	482	482
0.85	971	1,453
0.86	2,673	4,126
0.87	1,754	5,880
0.88	1,625	7,505
0.89	2,394	9,899
0.90	6,293	16,191
0.91	5,100	21,291
0.93	2,786	24,077
0.94	3,989	28,066
0.95	11,057	39,123
0.96	14,909	54,032

Spread0.01Mid0.83

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.83	1,008	1,008
0.82	1,210	2,217
0.65	5	2,222
0.55	46	2,269
0.51	3,922	6,190
0.50	2,909	9,099
0.44	5	9,104
0.41	483	9,587
0.35	24	9,612
0.19	526	10,138
0.17	1,471	11,608
0.16	312	11,920

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
cookedquail	Yes	30,349.73
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d	Yes	15,824.09
MKIsabella	Yes	11,531.41
coolquail	Yes	9,208.83
GypSea1	Yes	7,480.34
Legato5	Yes	4,760
Hyperlong	Yes	4,724.86
hugoops	Yes	2,610.44
xvc347y	Yes	2,557.14
AlexiosV	Yes	1,918.37
RajahSingh	Yes	1,057.83
yannick	Yes	1,000
pykue	Yes	873.72
mrblarg64	Yes	626.61
0x2E869AdC00706c3922E90fE568bD5b09C76e6Bc9-1759279552068	Yes	416.67
Spectrum	Yes	400
geylord20	Yes	400
Jep-G	Yes	400
enrico-vasaio	Yes	300
LornaPredicts	Yes	295.5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
14:50:25	SELL	No	0.83	150	$124.50
14:50:24	SELL	No	0.84	1,028	$863.87
23:20:18	SELL	No	0.84	188	$157.90
21:04:03	SELL	No	0.85	5	$4.25
20:47:34	BUY	No	0.8599999983	23	$20.00
10:02:57	BUY	Yes	0.15	49	$7.34
10:02:46	SELL	No	0.85	93	$78.63
10:02:45	BUY	Yes	0.14	279	$38.99
02:33:16	SELL	No	0.8681632653	245	$212.70
16:46:06	SELL	Yes	0.14	46	$6.44
16:36:12	BUY	No	0.87	51	$44.37
16:35:27	BUY	Yes	0.15	30	$4.50
16:35:21	BUY	Yes	0.15	102	$15.33
16:33:54	SELL	Yes	0.12	100	$12.00
16:32:42	SELL	Yes	0.12	100	$12.00
16:30:46	BUY	Yes	0.13	73	$9.47
16:30:43	SELL	Yes	0.11	50	$5.50
16:30:42	SELL	Yes	0.11	100	$11.00
16:30:39	BUY	No	0.8628509189	2,135	$1841.85
13:35:54	BUY	No	0.8499999748	24	$20.22
10:24:39	SELL	No	0.82	3	$2.86
07:48:15	BUY	No	0.8499999879	25	$20.99
07:46:48	BUY	No	0.8292346154	260	$215.60
07:46:48	BUY	No	0.84	26	$22.09
07:46:48	BUY	No	0.844758826	86	$72.82