Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.24. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.23 to 0.24. 167 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.25	4,878	4,878
0.26	1,690	6,568
0.29	10	6,578
0.35	5	6,583
0.65	24	6,607
0.87	1,508	8,115
0.90	10	8,125
0.92	13	8,137
0.94	17	8,154
0.95	806	8,960
0.96	3,025	11,985
0.97	33	12,019

Spread0.02Mid0.24

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.23	2,101	2,101
0.22	3,204	5,305
0.20	44	5,349
0.19	300	5,649
0.18	4,480	10,129
0.17	808	10,937
0.14	63	11,000
0.08	2,825	13,825
0.07	942	14,766
0.06	3,049	17,816
0.05	2,950	20,766
0.04	4,935	25,701

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.77	2,101	2,101
0.78	3,204	5,305
0.80	44	5,349
0.81	300	5,649
0.82	4,480	10,129
0.83	808	10,937
0.86	63	11,000
0.92	2,825	13,825
0.93	942	14,766
0.94	3,049	17,816
0.95	2,950	20,766
0.96	4,935	25,701

Spread0.02Mid0.76

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.75	4,878	4,878
0.74	1,690	6,568
0.71	10	6,578
0.65	5	6,583
0.35	24	6,607
0.13	1,508	8,115
0.10	10	8,125
0.08	13	8,137
0.06	17	8,154
0.05	806	8,960
0.04	3,025	11,985
0.03	33	12,019

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
MKIsabella	Yes	11,531.41
coolquail	Yes	9,208.83
cookedquail	Yes	9,206.41
GypSea1	Yes	7,480.34
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d	Yes	6,999.71
0x4d826F2aD8b4fA42D7Ad08b940b696857D78a5E9-1775654030147	Yes	5,286.84
Legato5	Yes	4,760
NoSteinNoGate	Yes	4,190.15
xvc347y	Yes	2,557.14
hugoops	Yes	1,610.44
Odinsdottir	Yes	1,000.63
RajahSingh	Yes	701.25
mrblarg64	Yes	622.44
Jep-G	Yes	500
tinknows	Yes	500
0x2E869AdC00706c3922E90fE568bD5b09C76e6Bc9-1759279552068	Yes	416.67
enrico-vasaio	Yes	300
Bravo414	Yes	282.26
0xc2933273eE77a546E0341322D30011a875cf1a18-1773319262700	Yes	239.7
MatthewHor	Yes	214.29

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
16:15:51	BUY	Yes	0.25	60	$15.00
15:06:06	BUY	Yes	0.25	520	$130.00
13:12:17	SELL	No	0.75	64	$48.07
23:58:24	BUY	No	0.77	1	$1.00
13:37:27	BUY	No	0.76	64	$48.72
09:16:14	BUY	No	0.76	100	$76.00
22:53:26	BUY	Yes	0.25	138	$34.61
20:17:21	SELL	Yes	0.24	798	$191.54
18:19:23	BUY	Yes	0.25	20	$5.00
13:55:05	BUY	No	0.7599999878	13	$10.00
13:20:39	BUY	Yes	0.25	500	$125.00
01:40:56	BUY	Yes	0.25	22	$5.55
00:44:34	BUY	Yes	0.25	22	$5.55
00:23:31	BUY	Yes	0.25	22	$5.55
23:26:41	BUY	Yes	0.25	22	$5.55
23:05:13	SELL	No	0.75	171	$128.25
23:04:37	SELL	No	0.75	200	$150.00
23:04:32	SELL	No	0.75	50	$37.50
23:04:31	BUY	Yes	0.24	711	$170.66
14:28:11	SELL	No	0.76	2	$1.46
13:08:19	SELL	Yes	0.23	32	$7.36
10:17:43	BUY	Yes	0.24	8	$1.92
10:46:12	SELL	Yes	0.23	100	$23.00
10:44:10	SELL	Yes	0.24	100	$24.00
10:44:03	SELL	Yes	0.24	100	$24.00