mrblarg64
0x2482f87037df2ce3cada66afad2d1820ad5afd45
- Realised P&L
- $-21.08
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $441.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.28at 0.480New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score
- +$49.64at 0.220Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$17.10at 0.630Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$13.64at 0.876Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by July 31?
- +$10.83at 0.480Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:28 | Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 22:26 | Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 22:25 | Obama federally charged before 2027? | BUY | 0.9719999806 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 22:25 | Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:58 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 19:12 | Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 16:15 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $15.00 |
| 08-01 12:39 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.8599999656 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 12:39 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 12:26 | Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by August 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $9.44 |
| 08-01 12:25 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 01:13 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 01:12 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 15:24 | Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by August 31? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 15:23 | Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by August 31? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |