mrblarg64
0x2482f87037df2ce3cada66afad2d1820ad5afd45
- Realised P&L
- $-104.39
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $765.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.41at 0.487New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score
- +$49.31at 0.225Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$20.01at 0.877Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by August 31?
- +$16.78at 0.637Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$16.22at 0.588U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 23:11 | Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.625234927 | $43.30 |
| 09-11 05:02 | Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.93 | $3.00 |
| 09-11 04:55 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999507 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 04:36 | Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30? | BUY | 0.3253521053 | $14.00 |
| 09-10 21:56 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.9849999286 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 21:37 | Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:11 | Obama federally charged before 2027? | BUY | 0.959 | $5.52 |
| 09-09 17:50 | Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? | BUY | 0.869 | $4.34 |
| 09-09 05:19 | Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.8599999243 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 05:18 | Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 05:18 | Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 04:31 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 04:26 | Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.59 | $45.43 |
| 09-09 04:25 | Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? | BUY | 0.893 | $8.93 |
| 09-09 04:19 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | SELL | 0.38 | $8.56 |